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After setting a dozen all-time highs already in 2025, the S&P 500 is most likely to muddle through and continue outperforming both bonds and cash.In a base-case scenario, they envision slow, but positive economic growth, mid-single digits earnings-per-share growth and slightly higher inflation, though not so high as to prevent one or two rate cuts.Clissold and Nguyen anticipate earnings growth of just 5% for the S&P 500 in this environment, and say one benefit from muddle-through expectations is that moderating growth and contained inflation may open a window for the Fed to cut rates once or twice in the second half of 2025. Again, relying on precedent, they note that \"stocks have rallied when the Fed has resumed an easing cycle after a long pause\".The optimal portfolio profile for this setting, they contend, is large-cap growth because earnings-growth scarcity allows those stocks to command a premium rating.Despite their ca","market":"fut","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":null,"symbols":["IVV","US7Y.BOND","SDS","UPRO","US12M.BOND","BK4559","VOO","ESmain","US3Y.BOND","US6M.BOND",".SPX","BK4581","SSO","BK4585","BK4534","OEX","SPXU","BK4588","US2Y.BOND","SPY","US10Y.BOND","MESmain","BK4550","SH","US5Y.BOND","BK4504","OEF","US30Y.BOND"],"gpt_icon":0}],"pageSize":4,"totalPage":100,"pageCount":1,"totalSize":400,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}],"@#url:\"https://hq.skytigris.cn/fundamental/corporate_actions/details/VOO\",params:#limit:5,,,undefined,":[{"date":"2025-06-30","symbol":"VOO","amount":1.7447,"announcedDate":null,"type":"dividend","lastAmount":null,"market":"US","newRecordDate":"2025-06-30","defaultRemindTime":1751290200000,"name":"Vanguard标普500ETF","lastCurrency":null,"lastExecuteDate":null,"recordDate":"2025-07-02","payableDate":"2025-06-30","currency":"USD","dateTimestamp":1751256000000,"payDate":"2025-07-02"},{"date":"2025-03-27","symbol":"VOO","amount":1.8121,"announcedDate":"2025-03-25","type":"dividend","lastAmount":null,"market":"US","newRecordDate":"2025-03-27","defaultRemindTime":1743082200000,"name":"Vanguard标普500ETF","lastCurrency":null,"lastExecuteDate":null,"recordDate":"2025-03-31","payableDate":"2025-03-27","currency":"USD","dateTimestamp":1743048000000,"payDate":"2025-03-31"},{"date":"2024-12-23","symbol":"VOO","amount":1.7385,"announcedDate":"2024-12-19","type":"dividend","lastAmount":null,"market":"US","newRecordDate":"2024-12-23","defaultRemindTime":1734964200000,"name":"Vanguard标普500ETF","lastCurrency":null,"lastExecuteDate":null,"recordDate":"2024-12-26","payableDate":"2024-12-23","currency":"USD","dateTimestamp":1734930000000,"payDate":"2024-12-26"},{"date":"2024-09-27","symbol":"VOO","amount":1.6386,"announcedDate":"2024-09-25","type":"dividend","lastAmount":null,"market":"US","newRecordDate":"2024-09-27","defaultRemindTime":1727443800000,"name":"Vanguard标普500ETF","lastCurrency":null,"lastExecuteDate":null,"recordDate":"2024-10-01","payableDate":"2024-09-27","currency":"USD","dateTimestamp":1727409600000,"payDate":"2024-10-01"},{"date":"2024-06-28","symbol":"VOO","amount":1.7835,"announcedDate":"2024-06-26","type":"dividend","lastAmount":null,"market":"US","newRecordDate":"2024-06-28","defaultRemindTime":1719581400000,"name":"Vanguard标普500ETF","lastCurrency":null,"lastExecuteDate":null,"recordDate":"2024-07-02","payableDate":"2024-06-28","currency":"USD","dateTimestamp":1719547200000,"payDate":"2024-07-02"}],"@#url:\"https://hq.skytigris.cn/fundamental/dividend/history\",params:#symbol:\"VOO\",market:\"US\",,,undefined,":[{"executeDate":"2015-09-21","recordDate":"2015-09-23","paymentDate":"2015-09-25","value":0.953,"currency":"USD"},{"executeDate":"2015-12-21","recordDate":"2015-12-23","paymentDate":"2015-12-28","value":1.092,"currency":"USD"},{"executeDate":"2016-03-21","recordDate":"2016-03-23","paymentDate":"2016-03-28","value":1.006,"currency":"USD"},{"executeDate":"2016-06-21","recordDate":"2016-06-23","paymentDate":"2016-06-27","value":0.953,"currency":"USD"},{"executeDate":"2016-09-13","recordDate":"2016-09-15","paymentDate":"2016-09-19","value":0.883,"currency":"USD"}],"@#url:\"https://hq.skytigris.cn/fundamental/estimate/recommendation\",params:#symbol:\"VOO\",market:\"US\",delay:false,,,undefined,":{}}}