ISHARES MSCI PERU AND GLOBAL EXPOSURE ETF

47.42

+0.08340.18%

Volume:7.06K

Turnover:334.60K

Market Cap:149.38M

PE:- -

High:47.42

Open:47.37

Low:47.37

Close:47.34

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It's worrying that, despite deteriorating fundamentals, the stock market is higher today than at the beginning of the year.Take corporate profits. At the beginning of January, the Wall Street consensus was that the S&P 500's SPX as-reported earnings-per-share for this calendar year would be $250.66 . Now, just five months later, that consensus estimate has deteriorated nearly 4% to $241.33 - and even this lower estimate carries an even greater degree of uncertainty than normal.In fact, the EPU recently rose to near-record levels last seen as the economy was shutting down at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020. The chart below illustrates the inverse relationship between the stock market and economic uncertainty, which is significant at the 95% confidence level that statisticians often use when assessing if a pattern is genuine. 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Economic uncertainty is higher following winters in which the stock market falls.You may want to consider following the old stock-market adage to \"sell in May and go away,\" after all.I say \"after all\" because a month ago I argued that this famous seasonal pattern exists primarily in midterm U.S. election years. During the three non-midterm-election years of a presidential-election cycle, there is no statistical difference between the stock market's average returns between May 1 and Oct. 31 than during the other six months of the year.Since 2025 is not a midterm-election year, I therefore concluded that there was no seasonal reason this year to stay out of the stock market over the next six months.What's important for investors to know now is that in past nonmidterm summers that followed such wintertime losses, U.S. stocks fared even worse than they normally do in the summer months.An analogy that helps us understand this 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