Broadcom Derails the Tech Rally. It's All on SpaceX's IPO, Now. -- Barrons.com

Dow Jones
Jun 04

U.S. stocks are facing the prospect of their first set of back-to-back losses since mid-May, with the S&P 500 and the tech world in retreat following a muted set of forecasts from AI chip maker Broadcom that looks to have shaken the market's hottest trade a week ahead of its biggest IPO.

Broadcom's forecast miss, while not massive in terms of dollars, nonetheless marks a rare retreat for a sector that has dominated markets since the end of the first quarter, driving broader indexes to record highs and boosting GDP growth estimates for the world's biggest economy along the way.

The pullback also coincides with a market making room for SpaceX's $1.8 trillion IPO, expected to price next week.

It's the largest on record, with a value three times higher than Nvidia's, but is tied to a group of firms that have yet to turn a profit. Its sheer size and index inclusion will both seep value from other stocks in the market, while its fundamentals will make it difficult to generate post-IPO growth with a corresponding bounce in earnings.

Morningstar says it's "significantly overvalued."

For markets more broadly, the picture remains just as complicated.

Developments in the Gulf region suggest Israel has reached a cease-fire agreement with Lebanon, but a similar extension of the fragile truce between the U.S. and Iran remains elusive.

That's keeping oil prices higher, stoking inflation concerns, and lifting U.S. Treasury bond yields back to key support levels ahead of Friday's crucial jobs report.

And now the markets look untethered to the first-quarter earnings season, those developments, and big questions about the fate of the tech trade over the summer months, can no longer be brushed aside.

-- Martin Baccardax

Get more of the journalism you love. Choose Barron's as a preferred source in Google.

Broadcom Beats Expectations. Was Outlook Enough for Investors?

Broadcom beat expectations thanks to supercharged growth in its artificial intelligence chip business. CEO Hock Tan sees momentum continuing to build, with third-quarter chip revenue from AI expected to rise 200% over the year-ago period, to $16 billion. Revenue is expected to accelerate for the rest of the year.

   -- Broadcom reported adjusted earnings of $2.44 a share for the May quarter. 
      Revenue rose 48%, to $22.19 billion, and revenue for the semiconductor 
      solutions segment was $15 billion. Its second-quarter AI revenue totaled 
      $10.8 billion, up 143% from a year ago. 
 
   -- Looking ahead, Broadcom forecasts fiscal third-quarter revenue of about 
      $29.4 billion, which would represent around 84% growth and beat 
      expectations. It designs custom AI chip alternatives for six customers, 
      including Alphabet and OpenAI. 
 
   -- The recent long-term agreement with Google to develop and supply multiple 
      generations of Tensor Processing Unit chips and AI networking is a very 
      strong agreement, Tan said. "A commitment that is very substantial in 
      dollars." But Google is likely to source from other companies, too, he 
      said. 
 
   -- Investors may have been disappointed when Broadcom left its 2027 outlook 
      unchanged. It still sees guidance for AI semiconductor revenue of more 
      than $100 billion. The shares were down 12% in after-hours trading after 
      that. 

What's Next: Broadcom is delivering chips to OpenAI and says it's on track for production this year. Its contract is to deploy 1.3 gigawatts of capacity in 2027, Tan told analysts. The OpenAI agreement ultimately aims for 10 gigawatts by the end of the decade.

-- Adam Levine, Kit Norton, and Liz Moyer

AI Data Centers Are Sparking a Battery Storage Gold Rush

Companies are rushing to build multi-acre battery installations that can store power for artificial-intelligence data centers and other electricity needs. The trend spans from Ford Motor, which announced a new battery storage division in May, to Fluence Energy, an upstart battery-maker collaborating with Nvidia.

   -- The battery industry is dominated by Chinese firms, which can make 
      battery packs for much less money than American competitors. And the 
      lithium-based battery product that each company puts out looks similar. 
      These kinds of commoditized industries tend to succumb to price wars. 
 
   -- A few factors have changed the calculus, causing demand for U.S. battery 
      systems to surge and potentially keeping margins elevated. U.S. tariffs 
      on Chinese batteries can add more than 80% to the base price. And last 
      year's tax bill kept domestic manufacturing subsidies in place. 
 
   -- A surge in electricity demand is also boosting the battery business. 
      Batteries have traditionally been used to store power produced by solar 
      and wind installations. They are now put to wider uses, including as a 
      power source on-site at AI data centers, as backup and to help stabilize 
      power consumption. 
 
   -- The rise in renewables adoption across the U.S. was already expected to 
      cause battery installations to increase steadily, but data centers will 
      supercharge the growth, Morgan Stanley says. Last year, 57 gigawatt-hours 
      of storage was added to the grid. By 2030, installations could rise to 
      279 gigawatt-hours. 

What's Next: Ford is spending $2 billion to build the energy storage business and expects to start making deliveries in 2027. Morgan Stanley is excited about the prospects, and predicts it can add $10 billion in value to the company once the capacity is fully built.

-- Avi Salzman

New Trick Could Make Alzheimer's Drugs More Effective

The drug industry has been trying for years to develop tricks to shuttle the drugs that treat Alzheimer's disease through the body's protective brain-blood barrier, which blocks 99% of a dose from reaching the brain. The results of their efforts will become apparent this year.

   -- Denali Therapeutics, which got the first U.S. approval for a 
      shuttle-enhanced drug in March; and Roche Holding, which is in pivotal 
      trials with its barrier-crossing Alzheimer's antibody, are leading the 
      pack. Success could yield annual sales above $13 billion for Roche and 
      turn around the biotech's fortunes. 
 
   -- Roche's anti-amyloid antibody trontinemab has a fragment that mimics the 
      natural iron-shuttling molecule known as transferrin. Roche in September 
      started Phase 3 trials for trontinemab in patients with early symptoms of 
      Alzheimer's, as well as another Phase 3 trial to treat patients before 
      cognitive symptoms appear. 
 
   -- In March, the Food and Drug Administration approved Avlayah, which taps 
      the transferrin receptor to bring in the enzyme that is missing from the 
      brain cells of children born with Hunter Syndrome, a rare and deadly 
      disorder. Similar treatments for the enzyme deficiencies known as 
      Sanfilippo, Pompe, and Gaucher diseases are in early clinical trials. 
 
   -- To get gene therapies into cells, biotech companies have used 
      hollowed-out viruses called capsids. Both Voyager Therapeutics and 
      Sangamo Therapeutics are developing capsids that first open blood-brain 
      portals, then deliver genetic cargoes to brain cells. 

What's Next: Denali recently began clinical trials of a treatment that silences the genetic instructions for the Alzheimer's tau protein. Preclinical projects are testing vehicles for delivering amyloid antibodies, and treatments for Parkinson's disease. The market for a successful Alzheimer's or Parkinson's treatment could exceed $5 billion.

-- Bill Alpert and Janet H. Cho

The Quantum IPO Everyone Was Waiting for Is Here

From SpaceX to Anthropic, the pipeline of blockbuster initial public offerings is moving fast. But for quantum enthusiasts, the biggest milestone of the year has arrived: Quantinuum priced its IPO at $60 a share and it set to trade sometime today.

   -- The IPO was upsized to 28 million shares of its class A common stock, 
      raising $1.68 billion. Underwriters have been granted a 30-day option to 
      sell an additional 4.2 million shares if demand is higher than expected, 
      the company said. 
 
   -- The Honeywell-backed upstart will be listed on the Nasdaq Global Market 
      under the ticker symbol "QNT." The IPO caps months of uncertainty for 
      investors looking to Quantinuum as the next big force in quantum 
      computing. 
 
   -- Formed in 2021 through a merger between Honeywell Quantum Solutions and a 
      U.K.-based start-up, Quantinuum has built a roster of collaborators 
      across the energy, aerospace, and finance sectors plus the backing of the 
      U.S. government. 
 
   -- As part of a $2 billion funding package, Quantinuum will receive up to 
      $100 million from the Commerce Department to scale its trapped-ion 
      quantum computers. In turn, the department will receive a minority equity 
      stake in the company. 

What's Next: Quantinuum has had ample time to refine its flagship trapped-ion technology, supported by a parent with deep pockets. An investment in quantum comes with the usual disclaimers. None of the companies is profitable and all will continue to post losses for the foreseeable future.

-- Mackenzie Tatananni

-- Newsletter edited by Liz Moyer, Patrick O'Donnell, Callum Keown

This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

June 04, 2026 06:45 ET (10:45 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

At the request of the copyright holder, you need to log in to view this content

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10