HSBC Sees Risk Premium for Yen as Japan Fiscal Concerns Grow -- Market Talk

Dow Jones
Jan 26

0856 GMT - Concerns about Japan's fiscal sustainability amid rising inflation and political changes are putting a risk premium on the yen, says HSBC's Joey Chew. As elections loom, various parties have proposed consumption tax relief, "but we have not heard much about concrete plans for plugging the funding gap." It may take time and some effort by authorities to gain more credibility. In the meantime, FX intervention and other capital flow measures can help, says Chew. Seeing as Japan and U.S. authorities have expressed concerns about the yen, joint action seems possible near term. That said, the joint intervention seen in 1989-1990 suggests one shouldn't assume that U.S. involvement is a panacea for JPY weakness. If intervention does happen, net short positioning implies more limited negative spillover then when Japan's finance ministry last sold USD in 2024. (jason.chau@wsj.com)

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

January 26, 2026 03:56 ET (08:56 GMT)

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