Is It Too Late to Consider AeroVironment After 142% Jump and New Partnerships?

Simply Wall St.

Oct 26

So, you’re wondering what to make of AeroVironment stock right now. Maybe you’ve noticed some wild moves and are asking if it’s too late to get in, or if you should be thinking of locking in gains. ...

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Maybe you’ve noticed some wild moves and are asking if it’s too late to get in, or if you should be thinking of locking in gains. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-avav/aerovironment/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-aerovironment-after-142-jump-and\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late to Consider AeroVironment After 142% Jump and New Partnerships?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late to Consider AeroVironment After 142% Jump and New Partnerships?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-10-26 12:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-avav/aerovironment/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-aerovironment-after-142-jump-and><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>So, you’re wondering what to make of AeroVironment stock right now. Maybe you’ve noticed some wild moves and are asking if it’s too late to get in, or if you should be thinking of locking in gains. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-avav/aerovironment/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-aerovironment-after-142-jump-and\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DCF","symbol_name":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-avav/aerovironment/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-aerovironment-after-142-jump-and","article_id":"2578636559","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/3021000-choice2-main-header/1585186565541"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nasdaq-avav/aerovironment/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-aerovironment-after-142-jump-and","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2578636559","pubTimestamp":1761453042,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"So, you’re wondering what to make of AeroVironment stock right now. Maybe you’ve noticed some wild moves and are asking if it’s too late to get in, or if you should be thinking of locking in gains. Here’s what you need to know: AeroVironment has surged an incredible 142.0% year-to-date, bringing its five-year return up to a massive 395.7%. Even over just the past month, shares have jumped 25.7%, and in the last week alone, there’s been an 8.0% pop. Clearly, market enthusiasm around the...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4603":"无人机概念股","LTM":"南美航空集团","AVAV":"AeroVironment公司","BK4008":"航空公司","LTM.AU":"Arcadium Lithium plc","BK4187":"航天航空与国防","BK7036":"特种化学制品"},"translate_title":"在142%的涨幅和新的合作伙伴关系之后，现在考虑AeroVironment是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AVAV":1.5,"DCF":1,"LTM":1,"LTM.AU":1},"content_text":"So, you’re wondering what to make of AeroVironment stock right now. Maybe you’ve noticed some wild moves and are asking if it’s too late to get in, or if you should be thinking of locking in gains. Here’s what you need to know: AeroVironment has surged an incredible 142.0% year-to-date, bringing its five-year return up to a massive 395.7%. Even over just the past month, shares have jumped 25.7%, and in the last week alone, there’s been an 8.0% pop. Clearly, market enthusiasm around the company is running high. What’s fueling these moves? Recent news has spotlighted AeroVironment’s expanding partnerships and growing role in supplying critical technologies, especially with global defense attention at elevated levels. These stories have helped boost investor confidence and possibly driven the stock’s rapid climb, suggesting optimism about future demand for AeroVironment’s products. Despite all this momentum and excitement, here’s the catch: based on our scoring across six key valuation checks, the company rates a 0. This means it isn’t undervalued by any traditional measure we track. Now, this doesn’t necessarily mean the run is over, but it does demand a closer look at what’s behind these numbers. Let’s break down the most common approaches to valuing AeroVironment. And stick around, because we’ll finish with an important way to think about valuation that most investors miss. AeroVironment scores just 0/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: AeroVironment Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates what a company is worth today by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those projected amounts back to the present value. This approach focuses on how AeroVironment’s cash generation is expected to change over time, using both analyst estimates and longer-term forecasts. Currently, AeroVironment has a last twelve months (LTM) free cash flow of negative $193.8 million. While this is a negative figure, analyst projections show a dramatic turnaround. By 2028, future free cash flow is estimated to reach $234.6 million. These projections continue to climb through the next decade, with 2035 estimates nearing $601.0 million. It is important to note that only up to five years come directly from analysts, and the longer-range values are extrapolated. Based on the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model, the estimated intrinsic value of AeroVironment is $171.42 per share. However, the implied discount stands at negative 120.8 percent, indicating the stock is currently trading well above its intrinsic value according to this analysis. Result: OVERVALUED Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for AeroVironment. AVAV Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025 Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests AeroVironment may be overvalued by 120.8%. Find undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. Approach 2: AeroVironment Price vs Sales For companies like AeroVironment, the Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is the preferred valuation metric, especially when earnings are negative or volatile but revenues remain robust. The P/S ratio is useful for assessing the value investors place on every dollar of the company’s sales, providing a straightforward view when profitability is unpredictable. It is important to keep in mind that higher P/S ratios can be justified for businesses with strong growth expectations and lower risk profiles. Lower ratios often reflect slower growth or higher perceived risk. The \"right\" ratio can vary significantly depending on these factors. AeroVironment’s current P/S ratio is 17.33x, which stands well above both the peer average of 7.58x and the aerospace and defense industry average of 3.15x. While these benchmarks give useful context, they do not factor in the full picture of AeroVironment’s unique growth drivers, margins, and risk profile. This is where Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio comes in. The Fair Ratio is a proprietary calculation that looks beyond just sales, incorporating growth outlook, risk, profit margin, industry context, and market capitalization. This nuanced method can give a more accurate sense of whether the stock’s premium is truly warranted. AeroVironment’s Fair Ratio is 5.82x, which is significantly lower than its current ratio of 17.33x. This suggests investors are paying a substantial premium above what would be justified by the company’s fundamentals and outlook. Result: OVERVALUED NasdaqGS:AVAV PS Ratio as at Oct 2025 PS ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your AeroVironment Narrative Earlier, we mentioned that there’s an even better way to understand valuation, so let’s introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is a clear, approachable story that ties together your beliefs about AeroVironment, including its strengths, risks, future revenue, and margin forecasts, into a single actionable perspective and fair value. Instead of just crunching numbers, Narratives let you explain why you think a stock is a buy, sell, or hold by connecting the company’s real-world opportunities and challenges directly to your investment outlook. Narratives are an easy and accessible tool available on Simply Wall St’s Community page, used by millions of investors to compare their outlooks, share what they expect for key metrics, and see how their story plays out in real time as news or earnings are released. They help you decide what’s priced in and when it’s time to take action by comparing your fair value to the latest market price, dynamically updating as new information becomes available. For example, some AeroVironment investors project bullish growth in laser communication and global defense contracts, supporting a price target as high as $384 per share. Others focus on operational risks and assign a value as low as $225. Narratives empower you to invest with clarity and conviction, grounded in your own reasoning. Do you think there's more to the story for AeroVironment? Create your own Narrative to let the Community know! NasdaqGS:AVAV Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}