Moody's Says One-Third of the U.S. Is Already in—or Near—Recession

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Sep 04

Although the stock market continues to reach all-time highs, not everyone is doing well in the U.S. Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi combed through state-level data and sounded the alarm ...

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He said that nearly a third of states are on the brink of a recession, and another third is barely hanging on. Meanwhile, he said the remaining states are growing.Zandi put Washington, D.C, in the spotlight due to the significant government job cuts due to the Department of Government Efficiency. He said California and New York are holding their own, which is critical since they make up more than 20% of the country's GDP.Texas and Florida are the most important ones on the list based on their share of the GDP, measured as a percentage. Texas makes up 9.41% of the GDP, while Florida contributes 5.78%.Although most southern states are growing, the same can't be said about the northeast and most of the Midwest. Most of the states on the list contribute less than 1% to ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"benzinga.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1043141396.HKD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL FRANCHISE \"A\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999001077.SGD":"United International Growth Fund SGD","BK4588":"碎股","LU0994945656.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL FRANCHISE \"A\" (USD) INC 2","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据","LU1121112475.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL FRANCHISE \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","MCO":"穆迪","LU0390134368.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL GROWTH \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0426417589.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL FRANCHISE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1043141123.HKD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL FRANCHISE \"A\" (HKD) INC 2","LU0426412945.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL FRANCHISE \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"穆迪表示，美国三分之一的地区已经陷入衰退或接近衰退","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MCO":1},"content_text":"Although the stock market continues to reach all-time highs, not everyone is doing well in the U.S. \nMoody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi combed through state-level data and sounded the alarm about economic hardships. He said that nearly a third of states are on the brink of a recession, and another third is barely hanging on. Meanwhile, he said the remaining states are growing.\nZandi put Washington, D.C, in the spotlight due to the significant government job cuts due to the Department of Government Efficiency. He said California and New York are holding their own, which is critical since they make up more than 20% of the country's GDP.\nDon't Miss:\nOne of the themes was southern states ranking well, and Zandi acknowledged this fact in his X post. \n\"Southern states are generally the strongest, but their growth is slowing,\" he said.  \nNot all of the expanding states were from the South, but they stole the show. The 16 states that have been expanding are South Carolina, Idaho, Texas, Oklahoma, North Carolina, Alabama, Kentucky, Florida, Nebraska, Indiana, Louisiana, North Dakota, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Utah, and Wisconsin.\nTexas and Florida are the most important ones on the list based on their share of the GDP, measured as a percentage. Texas makes up 9.41% of the GDP, while Florida contributes 5.78%.\nTrending: An EA Co-Founder Shapes This VC Backed Marketplace—Now You Can Invest in Gaming's Next Big Platform\nAlthough most southern states are growing, the same can't be said about the northeast and most of the Midwest. Most of the states on the list contribute less than 1% to the GDP, but there are some states in this category that contribute roughly 3% individually. \nAccording to Zandi, the 22 states that are in a recession or at a high risk are Wyoming, Montana, Minnesota, Mississippi, Kansas, Massachusetts, Washington, Georgia, New Hampshire, Maryland, Rhode Island, Illinois, Delaware, Virginia, Oregon, Connecticut, South Dakota, New Jersey, Maine, Iowa, West Virginia, and Washington, D.C.\nIllinois, Georgia, and Washington are the standouts on this list. They make up 3.85%, 3.03%, and 3.02% of GDP, respectively. \nThe 13 states that are barely hanging on include Missouri, Ohio, Hawaii, New Mexico, Alaska, New York, Vermont, Arkansas, California, Tennessee, Nevada, Colorado, and Michigan.\nSee Also: Bill Gates Invests Billions in Green Tech — This Tree-Free Material Could Be the Next Big Breakthrough\nBreaking it down by red states vs. blue states reveals a common trend, especially with the outliers.\nMost southern states are red states, and it turns out all 16 expanding states are red states, with Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin flipping to red states in the 2024 presidential election.  \nMeanwhile, only eight of the 22 states in recessions are red states. This list includes Washington, D.C. This part of the list featured 13 blue states and the nation's capital.\nThe 13 states that are treading water offer a more balanced perspective. Seven of these 13 states are red states, and two of them – Nevada and Michigan – flipped to red states during the election.\nRead Next: Jeff Bezos-Backed Arrived Homes Hits A Big Sale On Charlotte Property – Investors Earning A 34.7% Return\nImage: Shutterstock","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"economic","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}