BUZZ-Berenberg sees shift to 'defensive growth' for European telecoms

Reuters
26 Jun
BUZZ-Berenberg sees shift to 'defensive growth' for European telecoms

** Berenberg predicts transition from "defensive" to "defensive growth" for European telecom stocks as it initiates or re-initiates coverage on 20 companies from the sector

** It sees sustainable free cash flow growth of 10% annually for the sector over 2025-2030, following prolonged period of lacklustre returns and underperformance vs the wider market

** The broker expects that savings in capital expenditure and operating expenditure will boost earnings, with gross capex and opex expected to fall by 5 billion euros and 2.5 billion euros per year respectively over 2025-2030 as telecoms operators complete their fibre/5G network roll outs and shut down copper/PSTN

** It prefers European telecoms stocks that create value for investors, deliver positive cash returns momentum and screen as "relatively cheap" vs the sector

** The broker's top picks include BT Group BT.L, Deutsche Telekom DTEGn.DE, Cellnex CLNX.MC, Telecom Italia TLIT.MI, SES SESFg.LU, Zegona ZEG.L and Proximus PROX.BR, which it expects to offer the most upside for investors

COMPANY

RATING

PT

Proximus

BUY

EUR 11.10

Sunrise

Communications

HOLD

CHF 49.00

Telecom Italia

(Ords)

BUY

EUR 0.52

Telecom Italia

(Savs)

BUY

EUR 0.52

Zegona

BUY

GBP 1,000

BT Group

BUY

GBP 2.40

Cellnex Telecom

BUY

EUR 46.00

Elisa

BUY

EUR 54.00

INWIT

BUY

EUR 12.30

KPN

BUY

EUR 4.78

Orange

BUY

EUR 15.00

SES

BUY

EUR 9.60

Liberty Global

HOLD

USD 11.00

Swisscom

HOLD

CHF 569.00

Tele2

HOLD

SEK 125.00

Telefonica

HOLD

EUR 4.30

Telenor

HOLD

NOK 138.00

Telia Company

HOLD

SEK 30.00

Vodafone

HOLD

GBP 0.80

(Reporting by Marta Serafinko)

((Marta.Serafinko@thomsonreuters.com; +48 58 769 66 00;))

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