These companies’ stocks trade well below the S&P 500’s price-to-earnings ratio and are expected to grow revenue at a much faster pace than the index
Investors tend to look at a stock’s forward P/E ratio, which is the price divided by analysts’ consensus estimate for earnings per share over the following 12 months. Which companies trading at low P/E multiples are also expected to increase revenue quickly?
When selecting investments, it is easy to get hung up on a particular metric, such as a dividend yield or a price ratio, but investors need to look deeper or they might miss opportunities.
Amazon.com Inc. provides an example: Its stock has typically traded at a high price-to-earnings ratio. Investors tend to look at a stock’s forward P/E ratio, which is the price divided by analysts’ consensus estimate for earnings per share over the following 12 months. Over the past 10 years, Amazon’s stock has traded at an average forward P/E of 79.5, while the S&P 500 has traded at an average forward P/E of 18.7, according to FactSet. But Amazon’s stock was up 855% for 10 years through Friday, while the S&P 500 returned 235% with dividends reinvested.
It turns out that for Amazon’s management team, bottom-line earnings traditionally weren’t a focus. The emphasis was on reinvesting most of the cash being generated to expand the business in multiple directions. So the Amazon story was about revenue growth, rather than EPS growth.
And that brings us to Nvidia Corp.. Last week Laila Maidan looked into Nvidia’s relatively high forward P/E and explainedwhy the stock might still be considered a bargain for long-term investors,based on analysts’ expectations for the company’s revenue growth. Nvidia’s stock traded at a forward P/E of 28.1 at Friday’s close, while the S&P 500 traded at a weighted forward P/E of 21.4.
It is not a surprise to see Nvidia trading at a P/E valuation that is 31% higher than that of the index. But based on consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet, Nvidia is expected to increase its sales per share at a compound annual growth rate of 41.7% through 2026, versus an expected sales-per-share CAGR of 5.5% for the S&P 500. All such estimates in this article are adjusted by FactSet to match calendar years; about 20% of companies in the S&P 500 have fiscal reporting periods that don’t match the calendar.
For Nvidia, investors pay a premium for the higher expected growth rate. And that sets the stage for a stock screen. Which companies trading at low P/E multiples are also expected to increase revenue quickly?
For this screen we are looking at revenue growth projections — specifically sales per share. We are using the per-share numbers because they reflect expected dilution to a company’s share count if it issues new shares to help fund an acquisition. Merging with a competitor will obviously make revenue increase. But if the share count rises significantly, sales per share will be lower. The per-share numbers help investors to understand whether or not a company might have overpaid for an acquisition.
Starting with the S&P 500, we narrowed the list to companies trading at forward P/E ratios of 14 or less — half Nvidia’s valuation. Actually, we rounded down, so the list was confined to stocks trading at a forward P/E of less than 14.5.
Then we sorted the list by expected sales-per-share CAGR from calendar 2024 through 2026, based on consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet.
Here are the 20 stocks in the S&P 500 with the highest expected sales-per-share CAGR through 2025 among those trading at a P/E of less than 14.5:
Company | Ticker | Industry | Forward P/E | Expected sales-per-share CAGR from 2024 through 2026 |
Expand Energy Corp. | EXE | Integrated Oil | 12.0 | 39.6% |
Super Micro Computer Inc. | SMCI | Computer Processing Hardware | 14.1 | 31.9% |
EQT Corp. | EQT | Integrated Oil | 13.6 | 26.0% |
Micron Technology Inc. | MU | Semiconductors | 9.4 | 23.2% |
Coterra Energy Inc. | CTRA | Integrated Oil | 8.3 | 21.2% |
First Solar Inc. | FSLR | Solar Power Equipment | 8.7 | 20.5% |
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | NCLH | Hotels/ Resorts/ Cruiselines | 7.9 | 15.9% |
Incyte Corp. | INCY | Pharmaceuticals | 10.7 | 15.5% |
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC | STX | Computer Peripherals | 12.4 | 15.0% |
Gen Digital Inc. | GEN | Software | 11.1 | 13.0% |
DaVita Inc. | DVA | Medical/ Nursing Services | 11.6 | 12.0% |
Oneok Inc. | OKE | Oil & Gas Pipelines | 14.2 | 11.8% |
Molina Healthcare Inc. | MOH | Managed Healthcare | 11.7 | 11.8% |
Aptiv PLC | APTV | Electrical Products | 9.0 | 10.9% |
UnitedHealth Group Inc. | UNH | Managed Healthcare | 12.5 | 10.7% |
Elevance Health Inc. | ELV | Managed Healthcare | 10.5 | 10.4% |
Dell Technologies Inc. Class C | DELL | Computer Processing Hardware | 11.4 | 10.2% |
American International Group Inc. | AIG | Multi-Line Insurance | 12.2 | 10.2% |
HCA Healthcare Inc. | HCA | Hospital/ Nursing Management | 14.4 | 9.9% |
Ball Corp. | BALL | Containers/ Packaging | 14.3 | 9.7% |
Source: FactSet |
It is a varied list. Super Micro Computer ranks second, with a 31.9% CAGR expected for sales per share through 2026. The stock soared last month after President Donald Trump announced investment agreements with Saudi Arabia to build data centers in the U.S., which lifted suppliers of related equipment.
It might surprise you to see UnitedHealth Group on the list, in light of the company’s numerous difficulties. These have includedhigher-than-expected costs in its Medicare Advantage business, reports of a governmentinvestigation into possible healthcare fraudand thedeparture of Chief Executive Andrew Witty.
But with the stock having tumbled 40% this year through Friday, with dividends reinvested, analysts working for brokerage and research firms believe the worst is over, with 21 out of 29 analysts polled by FactSet rating UnitedHealth a buy or the equivalent. Only three of the analysts rate the stock a sell or the equivalent.
Leaving the companies passing the screen in the same order, here is a summary of analysts’ opinions about the stocks:
Company | Ticker | Share buy ratings | Share neutral ratings | Share sell ratings | May 30 price | Consensus price target | Implied 12-month upside potential |
Expand Energy Corp. | EXE | 90% | 10% | 0% | $116.13 | $128.45 | 11% |
Super Micro Computer Inc. | SMCI | 47% | 41% | 12% | $40.02 | $40.69 | 2% |
EQT Corp. | EQT | 72% | 24% | 4% | $55.13 | $60.63 | 10% |
Micron Technology Inc. | MU | 85% | 12% | 3% | $94.46 | $123.95 | 31% |
Coterra Energy Inc. | CTRA | 83% | 17% | 0% | $24.31 | $33.41 | 37% |
First Solar Inc. | FSLR | 78% | 20% | 2% | $158.08 | $202.43 | 28% |
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | NCLH | 72% | 28% | 0% | $17.65 | $23.65 | 34% |
Incyte Corp. | INCY | 45% | 52% | 3% | $65.06 | $73.95 | 14% |
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC | STX | 59% | 36% | 5% | $117.94 | $119.88 | 2% |
Gen Digital Inc. | GEN | 45% | 55% | 0% | $28.48 | $31.83 | 12% |
DaVita Inc. | DVA | 9% | 83% | 8% | $136.26 | $167.14 | 23% |
ONEOK Inc. | OKE | 67% | 33% | 0% | $80.84 | $106.75 | 32% |
Molina Healthcare Inc. | MOH | 42% | 47% | 11% | $305.04 | $356.93 | 17% |
Aptiv PLC | APTV | 68% | 23% | 9% | $66.81 | $75.76 | 13% |
UnitedHealth Group Inc. | UNH | 73% | 17% | 10% | $301.91 | $376.05 | 25% |
Elevance Health Inc. | ELV | 75% | 25% | 0% | $383.84 | $491.94 | 28% |
Dell Technologies Inc. Class C | DELL | 81% | 19% | 0% | $111.27 | $136.52 | 23% |
American International Group Inc. | AIG | 55% | 45% | 0% | $84.64 | $90.88 | 7% |
HCA Healthcare Inc. | HCA | 59% | 34% | 7% | $381.39 | $387.95 | 2% |
Ball Corp. | BALL | 61% | 33% | 6% | $53.58 | $61.23 | 14% |
Source: FactSet |
Any stock screen has its limits and should only be used as a tool as part of your own research if you are selecting individual companies for investment.
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