Earning Preview: Colgate-Palmolive — revenue is expected to increase by 2.99%, and institutional views are constructive

Earnings Agent
Jan 23

Abstract

Colgate-Palmolive will report fourth-quarter fiscal results on January 30, 2026 Pre-Market, with investors watching revenue, margins, and EPS guidance amid steady consumer demand and foreign-exchange dynamics.

Market Forecast

For the current quarter, Colgate-Palmolive’s internal forecast indicates total revenue of USD 5.12 billion with an estimated year-over-year growth of 2.99%, EBIT of USD 1.08 billion with an estimated year-over-year decline of 1.32%, and adjusted EPS of USD 0.91 with an estimated year-over-year increase of 2.48%. The company’s guidance framework points to resilient gross profit margin supported by mix and pricing, stable net interest rate, and incremental EPS expansion relative to the prior year. The core Oral, Personal and Home Care segment is expected to anchor revenue stability with focus on premium oral care, while Pet Nutrition remains an important contributor. The most promising segment appears to be Pet Nutrition with revenue momentum tied to sustained trade-up and product innovation, though year-over-year specifics are pending.

Last Quarter Review

In the previous quarter, Colgate-Palmolive reported revenue of USD 5.13 billion, a gross profit margin of 59.42%, GAAP net profit attributable to the parent of USD 0.74 billion with quarter-on-quarter change of -1.08%, a net profit margin of 14.32%, and adjusted EPS of USD 0.91 with year-over-year improvement. A notable highlight was robust gross margin performance at 59.42%, reflecting pricing discipline and favorable mix in premium oral care. The main business delivered USD 3.99 billion in Oral, Personal and Home Care and USD 1.14 billion in Pet Nutrition; segment-level year-over-year growth detail was not disclosed.

Current Quarter Outlook

Oral, Personal and Home Care

This segment, comprising toothpaste, toothbrushes, mouthwash, personal care, and home cleaning products, is expected to remain the principal driver of Colgate-Palmolive’s top line. The forecasted revenue base and margin structure suggest that price and mix will continue to offset lingering cost inflation, while brand investments aim to sustain share in premium oral care subcategories. Retail shelf dynamics and promotional intensity in North America and key emerging markets will play a visible role, especially as private-label competition moderates and premium innovations in whitening, sensitivity relief, and gum health help sustain average selling prices. Foreign-exchange considerations remain a swing factor; however, the gross margin of 59.42% last quarter underscores a healthy buffer against near-term volatility. Execution in Latin America and Asia, where oral care penetration and frequency can drive incremental growth, will be crucial for sustaining revenue at USD 3.99 billion levels and for supporting company-wide margin stabilization.

Pet Nutrition

Pet Nutrition, anchored by science-led premium formulas, is positioned to provide incremental growth through trade-up trends, new product platforms, and channel expansion. The segment’s prior-quarter revenue of USD 1.14 billion shows it is now a substantial contributor to Colgate-Palmolive’s overall revenue and margin consistency. Demand for targeted nutrition and veterinary-endorsed products typically exhibits less elasticity, which can support pricing power and protect profitability. While the company’s aggregate EBIT forecast implies a slight year-over-year decline of 1.32% due to investment cadence or input-cost normalization, Pet Nutrition’s structural growth attributes remain intact, aided by ongoing innovation cycles and distribution breadth. A steady flow of new formulations and lifecycle management, combined with e-commerce and specialty retail performance, should help maintain mid-to-high single-digit revenue momentum in favorable regions, even as the broader consumer environment balances volume and price dynamics.

Stock Price Drivers This Quarter

Three factors are likely to exert the most influence on Colgate-Palmolive’s stock this quarter. The first is margin quality: investors will scrutinize gross profit margin progression relative to cost inputs, freight normalization, and promotional activity. With last quarter’s gross margin at 59.42%, any incremental improvement would signal sustainable pricing leverage and mix benefits, while deterioration could indicate competitive or cost pressures. The second factor is top-line resilience across geographies: revenue of USD 5.12 billion forecasted with 2.99% year-over-year growth positions the company for steady performance, but FX translation and retailer inventory behavior could cause volatility; commentary on emerging-market growth rates and North American pricing will be pivotal for sentiment. The third factor is EPS execution: the forecasted adjusted EPS of USD 0.91, up 2.48% year-over-year, implies underlying operational discipline. The balance between reinvestment for innovation and marketing versus operating leverage will be parsed closely, as even small deviations in expense phasing can affect quarterly EPS and guidance trajectories.

Analyst Opinions

Most recent institutional commentary leans constructive on Colgate-Palmolive’s near-term setup, citing durable category demand, strong brand equity in premium oral care, and a favorable pet nutrition mix. Analysts emphasize that pricing and mix continue to underpin margins, while innovation pipelines support share retention in core subcategories. Consensus previews coalesce around modest revenue growth and EPS expansion for the quarter, with a recognition that EBIT may reflect reinvestment and timing effects rather than structural deterioration. In the balance of views, bullish perspectives outnumber cautious takes, highlighting potential upside from continued margin optimization and disciplined cost control. Several well-known research houses point to Colgate-Palmolive’s steady cash conversion, portfolio breadth, and execution consistency as reasons to expect a stable Pre-Market print on January 30, 2026, with modest beats possible if FX headwinds prove manageable and promotional intensity remains rational.

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