Academician Forecasts Sharp Decline in Conversational AI Traffic by 2030, with Agent Services Dominating

Deep News
Yesterday

At the opening of the 2026 China Internet Conference, a keynote address was delivered on the topic of AI-native reconstruction of the internet.

The speaker noted that while large language models have initiated a new AI era, they excel at general understanding but lack precision for specific, niche tasks. Intelligent agents have emerged to fill this gap, though a single agent can only handle simple tasks, with complex operations requiring multi-agent collaboration. The formal arrival of the intelligent internet will occur with the mass connection of agents, creating a new system of multi-agent cooperation in an open environment.

A forecast was presented indicating global IP traffic is expected to reach between 5.5 and 7 zettabytes per month by 2030, growing at an annual rate of 60% to 90%, with AI agent traffic accounting for 60% of the total. The structure of traffic is also set to shift significantly. Traditional consumer application traffic, which comprised 47% to 58% in 2025, is projected to fall below 30% by 2030. Intelligent computing traffic, at 30% to 35% in 2025, is predicted to rise to between 45% and 55%. The remaining traffic will flow to data circulation infrastructure. Within computing traffic, the proportion from model inference is forecast to exceed 60% by 2030, surpassing that of model training.

Regarding the domestic trend for token-based traffic, conversational token traffic, which made up about half of the total in 2025, is predicted to constitute only 12% by 2030. In contrast, the share of traffic from intelligent agents and their services is expected to surge to 75%.

The address highlighted that the immense demands for bandwidth, low latency, and computing power are compelling a comprehensive transformation of internet architecture. The traditional internet connected hosts and information, whereas an AI-native internet extends to connecting agents and capabilities. The concept of AI-native involves embedding intelligent computing power inherently within the network system, rather than adding it as an external layer afterwards.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10