The share price of South Korean chip giant SK hynix experienced a turbulent session on Monday in Seoul, initially plunging as much as 4.7% before paring losses and stabilizing as investors sought bargains following a sharp overnight sell-off in US-listed AI memory stocks.
This volatility in the heavyweight stock caused the benchmark KOSPI index to similarly whipsaw, tumbling 2.8% at the open before rebounding to close 0.6% higher. Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. also moved higher, gaining as much as 4.3% at one point.
This sharp decline stands in stark contrast to the company's high-profile debut on the Nasdaq just days earlier. On July 10th, SK hynix American Depositary Receipts began trading on the Nasdaq, priced at $149 per share in a landmark offering that raised $26.5 billion, setting a new record for a foreign company listing in the US.
The ADRs opened 14% above the offering price at $170 on their first day and ultimately closed up 12.8%. SK hynix Chairman Chey Tae-won remarked at the time, "This has always been a dream, and now that dream has come true."
However, Wall Street's enthusiasm proved short-lived. The recent volatility stems from the ADRs plunging 9.3% overnight in New York, nearly erasing most of the gains accumulated since their July 10th listing.
The broader sell-off in AI hardware stocks was driven by growing market concerns that related spending and valuations had run "too far, too fast." The memory and storage sector fell across the board, with stocks like Micron Technology, Inc. and SanDisk also affected.
Analysts point to a confluence of factors behind the sharp drop. One key element is profit-taking following a major positive catalyst. NH Investment & Securities senior analyst Yoo Young-ho noted that investors are locking in gains after the significant event of the Nasdaq listing was completed. Year-to-date, SK hynix's shares in South Korea had surged more than threefold, building substantial paper profits.
Additionally, earnings expectations have cooled. Korea Investment & Securities issued a report on Monday downgrading its earnings forecast for SK hynix. The market had anticipated a significant ramp-up in shipments of the company's HBM4 chips starting in the second quarter, but the expected volume increase has not materialized as quickly as hoped.
Furthermore, because SK hynix has a much larger exposure to the high-bandwidth memory market than rival Samsung Electronics, it has benefited relatively less from the recent price increases in traditional DRAM.
Leveraged products are also amplifying the volatility. SK hynix has become a popular target for global investors betting that the HBM chip shortage will continue to boost profits, with many using leveraged ETFs to magnify both gains and losses.
In Hong Kong, a single-stock leveraged ETF tracking SK hynix, managed by CSOP Asset Management, plummeted more than one-third on Monday, marking its largest single-day decline since its listing last October.
Despite the turmoil, some analysts urge a distinction between volatility and a true cycle peak. Analysts at Samsung Securities noted in a report, "The market was shrouded in panic and anxiety throughout Monday, but the key is to distinguish between short-term volatility and cyclical trends. A sudden 10% drop does not necessarily signal a cycle peak. In the past, high volatility might have been seen as a cyclical signal; but now, it should be viewed more as a new normal born from structural changes in the stock market."
The CEO of SK hynix has previously stated that the memory industry will face its most severe supply shortage in 2027, predicting that demand will continue to outstrip the company's production capacity "until the next decade." The company led the HBM market with a 58% revenue share in the first quarter, with Samsung Electronics and Micron Technology each holding 21%.
The tug-of-war between short-term price swings and the long-term growth narrative is likely to define the AI memory sector in the coming months.