BOCI has released a research report stating that CMOC (03993) achieved a net profit of RMB 5.6 billion in Q3 2025, representing a 19% quarter-on-quarter increase and surpassing the bank's expectations by 62%. This was primarily driven by higher-than-expected copper sales and a lower effective tax rate.
The bank expects CMOC's Q4 2025 earnings to grow 42% quarter-on-quarter, supported by recent copper price increases and one-time disposal gains.
BOCI has raised its profit forecasts for 2025–2027 by 4–19% and, following the earnings release, increased the target price from HK$13.91 to HK$15.56. However, it maintains a "Hold" rating due to the impact of high marginal tax rates in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which offset the benefits from strong copper prices.