Shares of Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) tumbled 11.09% in Thursday's trading session following the company's first-quarter earnings report and disappointing guidance for the second quarter. Despite beating analyst expectations for Q1, investors seemed more focused on the company's future outlook.
For the first quarter of 2025, Confluent reported better-than-expected results: - Revenue of $271.1 million, up 24.8% year-over-year and beating estimates of $264.6 million - Adjusted earnings per share of $0.08, surpassing the expected $0.07 - Adjusted operating income of $11.6 million, significantly higher than the estimated $8.39 million However, the company's guidance for Q2 and the full year fell short of analyst expectations: - Q2 revenue guidance of $267.5 million, which is 3.9% below analysts' estimates - Full-year revenue guidance lowered to $1.11 billion at the midpoint, down 1.3% from previous expectations
The weaker-than-anticipated guidance appears to be driven by a slowdown in new use case additions among larger customers, impacting cloud consumption growth. Confluent CEO Jay Kreps noted, "We are taking a conservative approach in our guidance, not assuming a rebound in consumption given the current environment."
Adding to the negative sentiment, Canaccord Genuity cut its price target for Confluent from $38 to $32 following the earnings report. This move by analysts likely contributed to the downward pressure on the stock.
Despite the sharp decline, some analysts remain optimistic about Confluent's long-term prospects. The company continues to see strong traction with new offerings like WarpStream and Freight Clusters, which are enabling high-throughput, low-latency workloads at attractive price points. Additionally, Confluent added 340 new customers in Q1, marking the highest net addition in three years.
As Confluent navigates through macroeconomic uncertainties and customer optimization efforts, investors will be closely watching for signs of improved growth in cloud consumption and new use case adoption among larger customers in the coming quarters.
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