Option Focus | Palantir's $1.96 Million In-the-Money Call Buy Signals Bullish Conviction Despite Stock Dip, While Low IV Percentile Suggests Cheap Premiums

Option Witch
8 hours ago

Palantir Technologies Inc. closed at $175.89, marking a 2.25% decline.

Despite the daily pullback, the options market painted a clearly constructive picture. The session’s largest premium commitment was a $1.96 million purchase of long-dated in-the-money calls, signaling institutional conviction rather than speculative chasing. Meanwhile, a much smaller out-of-the-money put buy offered only modest downside protection, and overall call volume outpaced puts by a ratio of 1.47. Combined with an implied volatility percentile near the low end of its historical range, the large-trade flow suggests buyers viewed the dip as an opportunity to position for continued upside at relatively inexpensive premiums.

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Options Indicators

PLTR’s implied volatility is 52.54%, while its IV percentile stands at 16.73%, indicating that although the absolute IV level is not low, it sits near the lower end of its own historical range. In other words, current option pricing appears relatively cheap and volatility is on the low side versus where it has traded over the past year. The IV/HV ratio of 0.50 further suggests implied volatility is running below realized volatility, reinforcing the view that current premiums are comparatively inexpensive rather than stretched.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.47.

Large Trades

A call purchase worth $1.96 million was the standout large trade, with buyers lifting 2,000 contracts of the September 18, 2026 $175.00 call. With PLTR referenced at $175.89, this strike is slightly in the money, which makes the trade a relatively direct bullish expression rather than a far-out lottery-style bet. The positioning suggests the buyer is seeking meaningful upside participation over a longer-dated horizon, likely expecting continued appreciation while benefiting from the call’s embedded leverage and longer time to expiration.

A put purchase worth $279 thousand was the other displayed large trade, consisting of 1,399 contracts of the September 4, 2026 $160.00 put. With the stock above the strike at $175.89, the put is out of the money, indicating a bearish view that PLTR could weaken materially before expiration, or alternatively a downside hedge against an existing long equity or bullish options position. Even so, the much smaller size versus the dominant call buying suggests this trade was more of a protective or tactical bearish expression than the market’s main institutional message. Overall, the large-trade flow leans clearly bullish on PLTR, as the biggest premium commitment was directed into an in-the-money long-dated call while bearish activity was comparatively modest and limited to a smaller out-of-the-money put buy, pointing to constructive sentiment with some selective downside caution rather than broad pessimism.

Strategy Reference

For a low-assignment-probability income strategy against the dominant bullish flow, a seller could consider the September 2026 $130.00 put, which sits roughly 26% below spot and benefits from elevated long-dated premium while remaining far from the money; alternatively, a bull call spread such as buying the $175.00 call and selling the $220.00 call of the same September 2026 expiration offers leveraged upside participation with reduced net premium and capped margin exposure compared with an outright long call.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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