Stock Track | American Airlines Stock Plummets 5.05% as Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Sell Amid Industry Concerns

Stock Track
09 Apr

American Airlines (AAL) shares plunged 5.05% during intraday trading, as the airline faced a significant downgrade from Goldman Sachs and growing concerns about the overall airline industry. The stock's sharp decline comes amid a flurry of analyst actions and warnings about softening demand and increasing economic uncertainty in the sector.

Goldman Sachs analyst Catherine O'Brien downgraded American Airlines to Sell from Neutral, slashing the price target to $8 from $16. The downgrade was primarily attributed to the airline's higher operating leverage and weaker balance sheet, which Goldman believes makes it more vulnerable to a potential demand slowdown. This bearish outlook was further reinforced by Barclays, which lowered its price target on American Airlines to $11 from $16, while maintaining an Equal Weight rating.

The broader context for these downgrades is a increasingly cautious stance on the U.S. airline industry as a whole. Goldman Sachs warned that softening demand and rising economic uncertainty are likely to weigh on the sector through 2025. The firm now expects a worse first quarter 2025 exit rate for demand and assumes this weaker trend will persist for the rest of the year. While stopping short of forecasting a full recession, Goldman noted that its macro team now sees a 45% chance of one in the U.S. These factors combined have led to a more defensive positioning in the airline sector, with American Airlines bearing the brunt of the negative sentiment due to its perceived higher risk profile.

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