Silver Breaks Out After Consolidation, $92 Zone Emerges as Key Resistance Test

Deep News
6 hours ago

Silver has staged a powerful breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern it consolidated within for most of February. This move could be an attempt to front-run the reopening of the mainland China market, a reaction to renewed trade tensions following last Friday's US Supreme Court ruling on reciprocal tariffs, or a combination of both. Conventional wisdom suggests we may now see a price retest of the pattern's upper boundary near $92.20. This level is viewed as critically important.

A sequence of lower highs has been broken. However, a decisive break above $92.20, and more importantly $92.88—a level that coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the January-February decline—could incentivize sidelined bulls to re-enter, potentially targeting a retest of the all-time high of $121.66 set on January 29th.

A trading strategy to consider is entering a long position if price sustains a break above $92.88, with a protective stop loss placed below $92.20. Initial profit targets could be set at $95.90, $102, or $112.50, levels that previously acted as minor support or resistance on shorter timeframes earlier this year. The $109.34 level, situated just below the all-time high and aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the January-February range, is also noteworthy.

For traders hesitant to wait for further confirmation of the breakout, a pullback towards $86.00 may present a potential entry point. This level represents both the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the January-February move and the daily high from February 11th. The 50-day moving average is another level to watch. A break below the 50-day moving average would cast doubt on the validity of the triangle breakout, likely shifting the directional bias back to neutral.

Momentum indicators are showing signs of a shift. The 14-period RSI is trending higher above the 50 level, indicating building upward momentum. The MACD has not yet confirmed this shift, though it is poised for a potential crossover above its signal line from below and is beginning to turn upwards towards positive territory. This remains a neutral signal for now, but it does warn bears that downward pressure is rapidly diminishing.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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