KINGDEE INT'L: Steady Subscription ARR Growth, Accelerated Overseas Expansion, Full-Year Consensus Revenue Forecast at RMB6.67–7.22B, Up 6.6%–15.3% YoY

Deep News
Nov 07

1. What are the full-year performance expectations for KINGDEE INT'L? As of November 6, 2025, data from institutional forecasts projects: - Revenue of RMB6.67–7.22 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%–15.3%. - Net profit of RMB28–201 million, up 119.7%–241.8% YoY. - Adjusted net profit of RMB28–157 million. Investors should monitor whether actual results exceed expectations upon earnings release.

2. Latest Analyst Views on KINGDEE INT'L **Caitong Securities** highlights: - Q3 2025 operational data shows subscription ARR reached RMB3.86 billion, with stable Net Dollar Retention (NDR): -苍穹&星瀚/星空/星辰/精斗云 at 105%/95%/93%/88%, respectively. - Subscription ARR growth slowed YoY but maintained steady accumulation, supporting future revenue. - Overseas expansion accelerated via a partnership with Malaysia’s振兴集团, marking direct local enterprise engagement. International revenue is expected to rise to 5%–10% of total sales.

Key business insights: 1) **Subscription ARR Growth**: RMB3.86 billion total, with a net addition of RMB130 million. 2) **NDR Performance**:苍穹&星瀚/星空/星辰/精斗云 NDR remained stable QoQ, with significant YoY improvement in large enterprises. 3) **Global Expansion**: The Malaysia partnership signals deeper local market penetration.

**Cinda Securities** notes: - KINGDEE leads China’s low-code/no-code software market with a 15.7% share for five consecutive years. - Market size grew 20.2% YoY in H2 2024, projected to exceed RMB12.98 billion by 2029. - The company ranks first in SaaS ERP, financial cloud, and other segments, topping IDC’s mid-market software rankings for 21 years.

H1 2025 financials: - Revenue: RMB3.19 billion (+11.24% YoY). - Net loss narrowed by ~55.1%, with gross margin up 2.38 percentage points. - Cloud subscription revenue rose 22.1%, ARR grew 18.5%, and contract liabilities increased 24.7% YoY. - AI initiatives: Contracts exceeded RMB150 million, with multiple AI-native solutions launched and deep integration with key clients.

*Risk Disclosure: Forecasts and cases herein are for reference only and not investment advice. Market volatility, corporate performance, and policy risks may impact stock prices. Conduct thorough due diligence before investing.*

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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