How to Invest in the AI Data Sector? Oppenheimer: Nutanix and Pure Storage Are Buys, Rubrik Overpriced

Stock News
Nov 18

Oppenheimer initiated coverage on Nutanix (NTNX.US), Pure Storage (PSTG.US), and Rubrik (RBRK.US) on Monday, offering divergent recommendations for these AI data infrastructure players.

**Nutanix** Oppenheimer assigned an "Outperform" rating to Nutanix with a $90 price target, citing three key bullish drivers: 1. **HCI Market Leadership**: Nutanix stands to benefit from enterprises accelerating their shift to hyperconverged infrastructure (HCI), which consolidates traditional server, storage, and networking layers into software-defined solutions. As a pioneer in this space, Nutanix holds a competitive edge. 2. **VMware Substitution Opportunity**: With VMware facing customer backlash over price hikes, Nutanix is well-positioned to gradually capture market share. 3. **AI Readiness**: The company’s ability to leverage surging unstructured data demand for AI applications bolsters its long-term growth prospects.

While acknowledging near-term headwinds like slower federal government spending and delayed virtualization expansion, analysts remain confident in Nutanix’s virtualization/AI inference potential. They also highlighted its consistent outperformance of the "Rule of 40"—a benchmark where software firms’ revenue growth plus profit margin exceeds 40%—which could warrant valuation re-rating.

**Pure Storage** Pure Storage earned an "Outperform" rating and a $120 target, driven by: - **AI-Driven Demand**: Expected growth in unstructured data creation and storage for AI workloads. - **Market Share Gains**: Continued displacement of legacy HDD and rival flash storage providers in the all-flash array (AFA) segment, where Pure holds technological advantages. - **Hyperscaler Expansion**: Success in penetrating tier-1 and tier-2 hyperscale data centers.

Analysts project these factors will fuel new customer acquisitions, existing client expansions, and operating margin improvements.

**Rubrik Inc.** Oppenheimer rated Rubrik "Market Perform," arguing its valuation (~9.5x EV/CY26E sales) already reflects growth prospects. While acknowledging Rubrik’s differentiated products, large addressable market (backup/storage TAM expansion), and strong management, the firm cited intensifying competition in cyber resilience and a balanced risk-reward at current levels.

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