GTC Capital: Gold Hits Fresh Highs as Bull Market Momentum Continues

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On September 8th, gold markets delivered their strongest weekly performance in recent years. A convergence of technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors drove gold prices through multiple resistance levels, setting new historical records repeatedly. Both unexpectedly weak macroeconomic data and shifting market expectations for monetary policy became key drivers behind gold's robust rally. GTC Capital believes this market movement represents more than just short-term emotional release, but rather the result of long-term macroeconomic conditions and capital flows working in tandem, highlighting gold's unique value as the "ultimate safe haven asset."

Early in the week, gold quickly rebounded after briefly testing support levels, with European market buying pushing prices to session highs. While holiday-reduced trading volumes temporarily weakened upward momentum, gold soon broke through key psychological levels once Asian markets opened, further boosting market confidence. When North American traders returned, they carried gold to even higher levels, followed by coordinated buying between European and North American markets that kept gold climbing to fresh records. GTC Capital notes that this pattern of continuous gains across different trading sessions reflects global investor demand for gold forming a unified force, no longer limited to short-term regional market drivers.

By mid-week, gold continued climbing after brief consolidation, maintaining its overall upward trend. The real catalyst emerged on Friday when U.S. non-farm payroll data came in significantly below expectations, triggering market expectations for more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. Following the data release, gold surged dramatically in a very short timeframe and successfully broke above key psychological levels. Notably, even at elevated levels, gold prices remained stable without significant profit-taking. This price action not only demonstrates the strength of market buying interest but also indicates investor confidence in gold's future prospects. Data shows that over 70% of Wall Street analysts are bullish on gold for the coming week, while retail investors similarly display highly consistent bullish sentiment. GTC Capital believes this institutional and retail sentiment convergence indicates gold's bull market is entering an accelerated phase.

From a technical perspective, gold's months-long consolidation built a solid base without significant selling pressure. When the breakout occurred, accumulated momentum was rapidly released, creating a powerful upward surge. Fundamentally, persistent inflation pressures, weak labor markets, and elevated debt levels are constraining monetary policy operating room. Meanwhile, global central banks continue adding to gold reserves while ETF inflows steadily increase, providing long-term funding support for gold. Some institutions have even raised medium-term gold targets to near $4,000, viewing current moves as part of a longer-term bull market.

This week, markets will face several key data releases, including U.S. PPI and CPI data, plus the European Central Bank's interest rate decision. If inflation data continues showing resilience or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals in policy statements, gold may experience short-term pullbacks. However, from a trend perspective, the overall trajectory remains strong, with any corrections likely viewed as new buying opportunities. GTC Capital believes the combination of global economic growth pressures and expectations for monetary policy easing will continue driving capital flows toward gold, especially as market confidence in traditional safe-haven assets weakens, making gold's strategic position increasingly prominent.

From an investment logic standpoint, gold is gradually replacing some traditional asset functions. Previously, dollar assets and government bonds were viewed as primary safe-haven tools, but with real interest rates declining and credit risks rising, gold's independent safe-haven characteristics have become more pronounced. GTC Capital emphasizes that gold serves not merely as a short-term trading instrument but as an important component of long-term asset allocation. Even if markets experience volatility, gold's long-term strategic value remains significant, particularly in the macroeconomic environment of high inflation and easing cycles, where gold's allocation advantages will continue expanding.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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