Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Ecolab Inc. (NYSE:ECL). The company's stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading around its 52-week high. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Ecolab’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
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Ecolab appears to be overvalued by 28% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$285 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of $222.17. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Ecolab’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
See our latest analysis for Ecolab
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Ecolab's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 31%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
Are you a shareholder? ECL’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe ECL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ECL for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ECL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about Ecolab as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Ecolab you should know about.
If you are no longer interested in Ecolab, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
Discover if Ecolab might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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