LivePerson, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPSN) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, LivePerson may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.8x and even P/S higher than 12x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
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See our latest analysis for LivePerson
LivePerson hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think LivePerson's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like LivePerson's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 23%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 41% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 17% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 20%.
In light of this, it's understandable that LivePerson's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
LivePerson's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of LivePerson's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with LivePerson (including 1 which is concerning).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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