Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from HBT Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:HBT), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. HBT Financial reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of US$59m and statutory earnings per share of US$0.61, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from HBT Financial's five analysts is for revenues of US$238.9m in 2025. This would reflect a credible 3.9% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be US$2.46, roughly flat on the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$238.8m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.42 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

View our latest analysis for HBT Financial

The consensus price target rose 11% to US$29.40despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of HBT Financial's earnings by assigning a price premium. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic HBT Financial analyst has a price target of US$31.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$27.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting HBT Financial is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the HBT Financial's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that HBT Financial's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 8.0% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 10% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 7.4% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while HBT Financial's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for HBT Financial going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.