Think the Stock Market Is Too Expensive? This Historical Chart Might Change Your Mind.

Motley Fool
Yesterday
  • The S&P 500 has generated a 7.5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) dating back to 1957.
  • Despite many bear markets and 10 recessions, the stock market has consistently moved higher over time.
  • Trying to time the market is folly. It is far better to buy and hold.

Is now the right time to buy stocks? It's a question that's been asked countless times, and whenever I field it, my answer is the same: "Yes!"

That might seem crazy, but I assure you, it isn't. Here's why: Over the long term, investing in a benchmark stock index like the S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.40%) has always proven to be a winning strategy -- even if someone's timing is horrible.

Still don't believe me? Then take a look at this chart:

^SPX data by YCharts

This is the S&P 500 dating back to 1957, when the index expanded to 500 companies and acquired its current name. Since then, it has increased by an astounding 14,000%. That works out to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.5% -- and that's before accounting for dividend payments.

During that stretch, there have been many corrections, several bear markets, and 10 full-blown recessions. And yet, no matter when someone bought, they would have made money -- if they had stayed invested in the market.

Image source: Getty Images.

There's a lesson here: Timing the market is folly. Many fortunes have been made by people claiming to know when the right time to buy -- or sell. But far more money has been left on the table by investors trying to time the top or the bottom.

The best advice is the simplest: Avoid trying to predict price movements in the short term. Instead, save what you can and invest for the long term. Ignore the headlines -- particularly when the market is going down. And whenever you have doubts, glance at the chart above and remember: Stay patient, hold your stocks for the long term, and you'll come out a winner.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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