Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, China Coal Energy Company Limited (HKG:1898) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
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Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
As you can see below, China Coal Energy had CN¥65.9b of debt at March 2025, down from CN¥71.2b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥79.0b in cash, leading to a CN¥13.1b net cash position.
According to the last reported balance sheet, China Coal Energy had liabilities of CN¥95.7b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥63.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥79.0b in cash and CN¥17.7b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥62.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since China Coal Energy has a huge market capitalization of CN¥136.4b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, China Coal Energy boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Check out our latest analysis for China Coal Energy
On the other hand, China Coal Energy saw its EBIT drop by 5.2% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Coal Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. China Coal Energy may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, China Coal Energy produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
While China Coal Energy does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥13.1b. So we are not troubled with China Coal Energy's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with China Coal Energy (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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