BlockBeats News, July 2nd, according to relevant page information, the probability of "Musk creating a new political party within this year" on Kalshi is currently reported as 40%.
In addition, on Polymarket, the probability of Musk creating a new political party by the end of July is 33%, and the probability of creating a new political party within this year is 43%.
Yesterday, Musk stated that if the Beautiful Act is passed, a new political party in the United States will be established the next day.
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