BlockBeats News, July 4th, according to official website data, the probability on Polymarket of predicting "Musk to create a new political party by the end of this year" is reported as 42%; on Kalshi, the probability of predicting "Musk to create a new political party within this year" is currently at 35%.
Musk stated on July 1st that if the "Beautiful Bill" is passed, he will establish a new political party in the United States the next day. Trump's "Beautiful Bill" was passed by the House of Representatives this morning and will be signed at 5 am on Saturday.
In addition, Musk initiated a poll on social media on June 6th: "Is it time to create a new political party in the United States that truly represents the middle 80% group?" The poll results showed that 5,630,775 users participated, with 80.4% of users choosing to support.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.