Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Financial ...

GuruFocus.com
01 May
  • Net Income: $1.18 per share for Q1 2025, up from $1.06 per share in Q1 2024.
  • Non-GAAP Operating Earnings: $1.43 per share for Q1 2025, compared to $1.31 per share in Q1 2024.
  • PSE&G Net Income and Non-GAAP Operating Earnings: $546 million for Q1 2025, up from $488 million in Q1 2024.
  • Capital Investments: $800 million invested in Q1 2025, with a full-year plan of $3.8 billion.
  • Liquidity: Total available liquidity of $4.6 billion as of March 2025, including $900 million in cash.
  • Long-term Debt Issuance: $1.9 billion issued in Q1 2025.
  • Full Year Non-GAAP Operating Earnings Guidance: Reiterated at $3.94 to $4.06 per share for 2025.
  • Five-Year Capital Spending Program: $21 billion to $24 billion through 2029.
  • Rate Base CAGR: Expected 6% to 7.5% through 2029.
  • Non-GAAP Operating Earnings CAGR: 5% to 7% through 2029.
  • Warning! GuruFocus has detected 8 Warning Signs with PEG.

Release Date: April 30, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (NYSE:PEG) delivered solid operating and financial performance in the first quarter of 2025, benefiting from regulatory recovery and seasonality of gas revenues.
  • The company maintained high levels of reliability and efficient customer response times during challenging winter conditions.
  • PSEG's nuclear operations achieved a fleet capacity factor of 99.9%, supplying the grid with approximately 8.4 terawatt hours of clean and reliable baseload power.
  • The company is focused on infrastructure replacement and modernization, with a five-year capital spending program of $21 billion to $24 billion, supporting a rate base CAGR of 6% to 7.5% through 2029.
  • PSEG's liquidity position improved significantly, with total available liquidity of $4.6 billion as of the end of March 2025.

Negative Points

  • The Basic Generation Service (BGS) default rate is scheduled to increase residential electric bills by 17% starting June 1, largely due to capacity auction results.
  • There are ongoing discussions with New Jersey policymakers to mitigate the customer bill impacts of the BGS increase, indicating potential regulatory challenges.
  • PSEG faces uncertainties related to the FERC 206 process and the settlement process for behind-the-meter data centers.
  • The company is dealing with affordability concerns in New Jersey, with upward pressure on energy prices expected to persist until new generating supply is added to the grid.
  • PSEG's commercial discussions related to nuclear capacity are contingent on resolving uncertainties around FERC processes and market rules.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide a timeline for the potential load inflection from the 6,400 megawatts of large load interconnection requests, and how is New Jersey addressing resource adequacy with this potential load? A: Ralph LaRossa, CEO, explained that while the 6,400 megawatts represent interest, only a fraction is expected to materialize. The state is actively considering resource adequacy, and PSEG is engaging with PJM to address assumptions in planning numbers. Legislative discussions are ongoing regarding potential changes to gas generation policy.

Q: What is PSEG's stance on the FERC 206 process and the potential for settlement versus an outright order? A: Ralph LaRossa, CEO, expressed a preference for settlement, which would allow the industry to collaboratively address tech industry needs. CFO Dan Cregg added that counterparties seek flexibility amid uncertainty, and a settlement could provide a more representative solution.

Q: Has there been any change in demand or tone from large load customers regarding nuclear power, given recent market developments? A: CFO Dan Cregg stated that demand for nuclear power remains strong, with continued interest in its unique attributes. CEO Ralph LaRossa noted that inquiries for new business connections have not slowed, indicating sustained interest.

Q: What are PSEG's strategies for managing affordability concerns in New Jersey, especially given capacity pricing issues? A: CEO Ralph LaRossa highlighted efforts to work with the Board of Public Utilities on deferral of charges and legislative proposals to address supply issues. PSEG is also promoting energy efficiency programs and customer assistance initiatives to mitigate bill impacts.

Q: Can you provide an update on the LIPA contract situation and what to expect next? A: Ralph LaRossa, CEO, reported that LIPA's board recently voted down a management recommendation to select a different service provider, keeping PSEG in consideration. The next board meeting on May 22 will likely address next steps.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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