We recently published a list of the 15 Small-Cap Energy Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Ecopetrol S.A. (NYSE:EC) stands against other small-cap energy stocks.

On April 12, Bill Perkins, Skylar Capital Management CEO, appeared on ‘Closing Bell Overtime’ on CNBC to talk about how the energy sector is struggling due to fears of decreased fuel demand. Perkins discussed that the trade policy majorly drives the sentiment across the energy landscape and hence affects natural gas, energy stocks, bonds, and other related assets. Noting the difficulty in predicting the long-term outcome of these policies, he questioned whether the tariffs are temporary. The conversation then shifted to the impact of recent tariff announcements. Perkins acknowledged that natural gas prices initially performed better than other commodities following the announcements, which gives rise to speculations that LNG could become a key bargaining chip in future trade negotiations. He explained that, at the time, natural gas fundamentals were strong, and the US had the potential to use LNG exports as a diplomatic tool to help reduce trade deficits with other countries.

However, Perkins acknowledged that the overarching macroeconomic fear of a global slowdown soon overshadowed these fundamentals, which affected both the crude oil and natural gas markets. As a result, prices dropped to levels that might stimulate some demand and offer a buffer against further declines, particularly if the tariff conflict drags on and risks pushing the economy into a recession or even a depression. Perkins also addressed the effect of price pressure on production, specifically referencing West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil. He pointed out that WTI prices had reached a threshold (~$60 per barrel) where growth in the Permian Basin would likely halt or even decline. At these price levels, producers become reluctant to invest in new drilling, especially given the backwardated crude curve, which showed future prices at $58 to $59 per barrel.  This scenario would not only limit oil production growth in the Permian but also reduce the output of associated natural gas from the region. Perkins described this production restraint as a bullish factor that could help offset some of the prevailing uncertainty.

Perkins predicted that oil and gas executives would adopt a cautious tone in their commentary. He explained that, due to the unpredictability of the global macro environment, executives would likely let market signals guide their decisions about ramping up or scaling back drilling programs.

Our Methodology

We first sifted through the Finviz stock screener and Insider Monkey’s Q4 2024 hedge funds database. For this article, we define small-cap stocks as those that trade between $10 billion and $30 billion. We then selected the top 15 stocks according to hedge funds and ranked them in ascending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them. In cases where an equal number of hedge funds held two or more stocks, we used the market cap as a tiebreaker.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

A fleet of tanker ships crossing the sea as they deliver oil and gas to their destinations.

Ecopetrol S.A. (NYSE:EC)

Market Capitalization as of April 25: $19.1 billion

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 13

Ecopetrol S.A. (NYSE:EC) is an integrated energy company that operates through four segments: Exploration & Production, Transport & Logistics, Refining & Petrochemicals, and Electric Power Transmission & Toll Roads Concessions. Its main refineries are the Barrancabermeja refinery and a refinery in the Free Trade Zone in Cartagena.

In mid-February, Citi upgraded the stock’s rating to Buy from Neutral, with a $14 price target, which was up from $9. Later in March, Ecopetrol announced plans to raise ~$2 billion in new debt to fund acquisitions, such as the potential deal for Enel’s Windpeshi wind project. In 2024, Ecopetrol S.A. (NYSE:EC) acquired the CPO-09 field from Repsol, which added 32 million barrels of oil equivalent to its reserves, and extended its JV in the Permian Basin.

Notably, the company produced a record 746,000 BOE per day in 2024, the highest level in the last 9 years. This contributed to the company’s total revenue of COP133.3 trillion. Furthermore, Ecopetrol achieved a reserve replacement ratio of 104% by adding 260 million BOE in proven reserves to 2x the 2023 addition. Ecopetrol is now allocating 60% of its 2025 investment towards energy security.

Overall, EC ranks 14th on our list of the small-cap energy stocks hedge funds are buying. While we acknowledge the growth potential of EC as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold great promise for delivering high returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than EC but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

 

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

 

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.