Release Date: April 29, 2025
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Q: You are a major LPG exporter. Can you tell us what you're seeing real-time today regarding US LPG being rerouted away from China? Also, how do you see the competitive landscape for LPG exports in light of tariffs and capacity expansion? A: (Tug C. Hanley, Senior VP, Hydrocarbon Marketing) We haven't seen disruptions in our ethane or LPG exports. We have limited direct exposure to China, with no contracts with Chinese entities. Our customers are international companies adept at handling volatility. Regarding competition, our Houston Ship Channel expansion is capital efficient, translating into competitive terminal fees.
Q: With $6 billion of projects starting up in 2025, how much of the projected $800 million incremental EBITDA is hardwired, and how should we think about the EBITDA ramp? A: (A. James Teague, Co-CEO) Our processing plants will be close to full capacity soon after coming online. Frac 14 will also be fully utilized. Our LPG exports are 85%-90% contracted. We have 12 projects, with 8 supply projects expected to be fairly full upon completion.
Q: Can you provide an outlook for the petchem and refined products segment, especially with PDH utilization and other components like propylene production and octane spreads? A: (Chris C. D'Anna, Senior VP, Petrochemical) Both PDH plants are running well, with PDH 1 above nameplate capacity. We've converted 20% of our propylene production to fee-based, reducing volatility. We've hedged 75% of our octane spreads, expecting them to widen during the driving season.
Q: How has recent market price volatility impacted your view on buybacks, and could buybacks increase in 2026 as CapEx tapers off? A: (W. Randall Fowler, Co-CEO) Our excess distributable cash flow over the last 12 months was $3.3 billion. By 2026, we expect mid-single-digit growth in cash flow per unit, potentially providing $1 billion to $1.5 billion for debt paydown and buybacks, as growth CapEx decreases.
Q: Are there any potential projects that could cause 2026 growth CapEx to exceed the $2 billion to $2.5 billion range? A: (W. Randall Fowler, Co-CEO) It's very unlikely. Most of our CapEx is related to ongoing projects. We expect growth CapEx to normalize to $2 billion to $2.5 billion, leveraging operational expansions from recent investments.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
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