Release Date: April 25, 2025
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Q: Are you seeing a higher level than normal of M&A deals dropping out, and do you see risk of that picking up? A: Peter Orszag, CEO: In any normal environment, some deals get pushed out or accelerated, but we haven't seen an elevated level of that. Our M&A backlog continues to expand, but its future depends on resolving tariff uncertainties. Our diversified business model allows us to adapt to client needs in a rapidly changing environment.
Q: How do you think the second quarter can compare to the first quarter? Can it be up sequentially or year-over-year? A: Peter Orszag, CEO: It's challenging to predict specific quarterly outcomes due to ongoing uncertainties. Despite this, client engagement remains high, but I can't provide a definitive answer as we're not in normal times.
Q: To what extent are you seeing sponsor M&A slowdown due to the macro backdrop and tariffs, and what does this mean for the growth of secondaries this year? A: Peter Orszag, CEO: Private equity is built to trade, but uncertainty around tariffs, market valuation shifts, and disruptions in leveraged loan and high-yield markets are countervailing forces. Clarity on tariffs could accelerate secondaries activity, but we see underlying growth in the secondaries market regardless.
Q: Could you talk about trends in restructuring, specifically liability management versus Chapter 11, and the outlook for these components? A: Peter Orszag, CEO: We've diversified our restructuring group to handle both Chapter 11 and liability management. As private capital grows, liability management is more common than formal Chapter 11 processes. We expect this trend to continue, although some firms will still undergo Chapter 11.
Q: What would you need to see in the M&A environment to be more comfortable bringing down the compensation accrual rate? A: Peter Orszag, CEO: The 60% target for the comp ratio depends on market conditions. We included caveats due to uncertainty. Achieving operating leverage depends on external factors, particularly the resolution of policy uncertainties. If revenue remains stable, the 65.5% ratio is our best guess for the year.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
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