As you might know, Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:EPRT) recently reported its first-quarter numbers. Results overall were respectable, with statutory earnings of US$0.29 per share roughly in line with what the analysts had forecast. Revenues of US$129m came in 4.2% ahead of analyst predictions. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

We've discovered 2 warning signs about Essential Properties Realty Trust. View them for free.

After the latest results, the twelve analysts covering Essential Properties Realty Trust are now predicting revenues of US$543.1m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a notable 14% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to swell 16% to US$1.24. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$533.7m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.22 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Essential Properties Realty Trust

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$35.91. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Essential Properties Realty Trust, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$40.00 and the most bearish at US$32.00 per share. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Essential Properties Realty Trust'shistorical trends, as the 19% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 23% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 3.7% per year. So although Essential Properties Realty Trust is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$35.91, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Essential Properties Realty Trust going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Essential Properties Realty Trust (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.