State Street Corp (STT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong EPS Growth and Record ETF AUM

GuruFocus.com
18 Apr
  • Revenue Growth: Total revenue increased by 5% year over year.
  • Fee Revenue: Fee revenue rose by 6% year over year.
  • Pre-Tax Margin: Pre-tax margin reached 30%, excluding seasonal expenses.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): EPS was $2.04, a 21% increase year over year, excluding notable items.
  • Asset Servicing AUC/A Wins: New wins totaled $182 billion in the first quarter.
  • New Servicing Fee Revenue Wins: Totaled $55 million in Q1.
  • Management Fees: Increased by 10% year over year.
  • Low-Cost ETF AUM: Reached a record $256 billion at quarter end.
  • FX Trading Revenue: Increased by 9% year over year.
  • Securities Finance Revenue: Grew by 19% year over year.
  • Expenses: Increased by 3% year over year, excluding notable items.
  • Capital Return: $320 million returned to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
  • Net Interest Income (NII): Flat at $714 million compared to the year-ago period.
  • Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTC): Over 16% for the quarter.
  • Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Ratio: 11% at quarter end.
  • Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Sign with STT.

Release Date: April 17, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • State Street Corp (NYSE:STT) reported a strong start to the year with a 21% year-over-year EPS growth, excluding notable items.
  • Fee revenue increased by 6% year over year, contributing to a 5% rise in total revenue.
  • The company achieved positive fee and total operating leverage, resulting in margin expansion.
  • New asset servicing AUC/A wins amounted to $182 billion, with new servicing fee revenue wins totaling $55 million.
  • Management fees increased by 10% year over year, driven by higher average market levels and prior-period net inflows.

Negative Points

  • The current environment presents uncertainty, with potential variability in the operating environment affecting future performance.
  • Net outflows of $13 billion were primarily driven by an anticipated client transition within the institutional business.
  • Non-interest-bearing deposits declined by 5% in Q1, which could impact net interest income if the trend continues.
  • NII was relatively flat compared to the year-ago period, with a 5% sequential decrease due to changes in deposit mix and lower short-end rates.
  • The company faces potential challenges from geopolitical tensions and regulatory changes, which could impact its global operations.

Q & A Highlights

Q: How does the current environment affect your capital return plans, and are there any changes to the expected pacing of capital returns? A: Mark Keating, Interim CFO, stated that they are on track with their plan to return capital at a progressive rate throughout the year, as communicated in January. They anticipate a step-up in Q2 and expect to return about 80% of earnings to shareholders, reflecting a range of scenarios given the current environment.

Q: Are there any changes in client behavior regarding new contracts and onboarding due to the current environment? A: CEO Ron O'Hanley noted that while clients are aware of the operating environment, there hasn't been a meaningful change in behavior regarding timing or onboarding. They remain confident in their new business wins projections.

Q: How much flexibility do you have in managing expenses if revenues are worse than expected? A: Ron O'Hanley explained that they have flexibility due to ongoing transformation efforts, allowing them to reprioritize investments and focus on productivity-based technology investments without harming long-term strategic goals.

Q: Can you provide more detail on the deposit trends, particularly between interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing deposits? A: Mark Keating mentioned that non-interest-bearing deposits declined by about $1 billion in Q1, which was expected. They are seeing elevated deposit levels and expect the high end of their $230 billion to $240 billion range to be a better estimate.

Q: What is the impact of the current market environment on your fee revenue guidance? A: Ron O'Hanley stated that despite market uncertainties, they are confident in their ability to deliver within the fee revenue guidance range due to strong business momentum, a robust pipeline, and investments in platforms and sales effectiveness.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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