David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Wilmar International Limited (SGX:F34) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
We've discovered 2 warning signs about Wilmar International. View them for free.
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Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
As you can see below, Wilmar International had US$28.4b of debt at December 2024, down from US$30.8b a year prior. However, it also had US$8.96b in cash, and so its net debt is US$19.4b.
SGX:F34 Debt to Equity History April 15th 2025
According to the last reported balance sheet, Wilmar International had liabilities of US$29.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$7.62b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$8.96b and US$8.36b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$19.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge US$14.9b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
View our latest analysis for Wilmar International
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax $(EBIT)$ divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Wilmar International has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.7 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 2.7 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Fortunately, Wilmar International grew its EBIT by 2.3% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wilmar International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Wilmar International reported free cash flow worth 14% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
On the face of it, Wilmar International's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider Wilmar International to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Wilmar International (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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