Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
So should Research Frontiers (NASDAQ:REFR) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.
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A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. When Research Frontiers last reported its December 2024 balance sheet in March 2025, it had zero debt and cash worth US$2.0m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$790k. So it had a cash runway of about 2.5 years from December 2024. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
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Whilst it's great to see that Research Frontiers has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced US$1.3m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Notably, its cash burn was actually down by 66% in the last year, which is a real positive in terms of resilience, but uninspiring when it comes to investment for growth. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Research Frontiers is growing revenue over time by checking this visualization of past revenue growth .
There's no doubt Research Frontiers' rapidly reducing cash burn brings comfort, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund further growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Research Frontiers has a market capitalisation of US$34m and burnt through US$790k last year, which is 2.3% of the company's market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Research Frontiers is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. And even its cash runway was very encouraging. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 2 warning signs for Research Frontiers that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.
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