When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may consider Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (HKG:2343) as an attractive investment with its 7.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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Pacific Basin Shipping certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Pacific Basin Shipping
Pacific Basin Shipping's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 86% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 5.5% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 14% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this information, we are not surprised that Pacific Basin Shipping is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Pacific Basin Shipping's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Pacific Basin Shipping that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Pacific Basin Shipping. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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