ThredUp Inc. (NASDAQ:TDUP) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 43% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 92%.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking ThredUp is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.5x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Specialty Retail industry have P/S ratios below 0.3x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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Check out our latest analysis for ThredUp
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, ThredUp has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ThredUp will help you uncover what's on the horizon.There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like ThredUp's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as revenue have been stuck during that whole time. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has definitely eluded the company recently.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.9% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 5.8% per annum, which is not materially different.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that ThredUp's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The large bounce in ThredUp's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Analysts are forecasting ThredUp's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with ThredUp (including 1 which is significant).
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