Despite an already strong run, Catalyst Metals Limited (ASX:CYL) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 44% in the last thirty days. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 685% gain over the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Catalyst Metals may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 45.8x and even P/S higher than 328x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
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See our latest analysis for Catalyst Metals
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Catalyst Metals has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Catalyst Metals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start .There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Catalyst Metals' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 148%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 89% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Catalyst Metals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
Shares in Catalyst Metals have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As expected, our analysis of Catalyst Metals' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Catalyst Metals that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Catalyst Metals' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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