First Resources Limited's (SGX:EB5) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 15th of May to $0.063, with investors receiving 70% more than last year's $0.037. The payment will take the dividend yield to 6.1%, which is in line with the average for the industry.
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While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Prior to this announcement, First Resources' dividend was only 45% of earnings, however it was paying out 187% of free cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 4.3%. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 74%, which is comfortable for the company to continue in the future.
View our latest analysis for First Resources
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from $0.0331 total annually to $0.0725. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.2% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. First Resources might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. First Resources has impressed us by growing EPS at 23% per year over the past five years. First Resources is clearly able to grow rapidly while still returning cash to shareholders, positioning it to become a strong dividend payer in the future.
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think First Resources will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for First Resources (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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