We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
So, the natural question for Starpharma Holdings (ASX:SPL) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at December 2024, Starpharma Holdings had cash of AU$20m and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. Importantly, its cash burn was AU$11m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 22 months from December 2024. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
See our latest analysis for Starpharma Holdings
Starpharma Holdings actually ramped up its cash burn by a whopping 53% in the last year, which shows it is boosting investment in the business. And that is all the more of a concern in light of the fact that operating revenue was actually down by 61% in the last year, as the company no doubt scrambles to change its fortunes. Considering these two factors together makes us nervous about the direction the company seems to be heading. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Starpharma Holdings has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.
Since Starpharma Holdings can't yet boast improving growth metrics, the market will likely be considering how it can raise more cash if need be. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Since it has a market capitalisation of AU$40m, Starpharma Holdings' AU$11m in cash burn equates to about 28% of its market value. That's fairly notable cash burn, so if the company had to sell shares to cover the cost of another year's operations, shareholders would suffer some costly dilution.
On this analysis of Starpharma Holdings' cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. Summing up, we think the Starpharma Holdings' cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 2 warning signs for Starpharma Holdings that you should be aware of before investing.
Of course Starpharma Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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