Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ:CBRL) Price Target After Its Latest Report

Simply Wall St.
09 Mar

Shareholders might have noticed that Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ:CBRL) filed its second-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.5% to US$42.82 in the past week. The result was positive overall - although revenues of US$949m were in line with what the analysts predicted, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$0.99 per share, modestly greater than expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

NasdaqGS:CBRL Earnings and Revenue Growth March 9th 2025

Following last week's earnings report, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's nine analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be US$3.47b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 36% to US$2.20. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$3.46b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.18 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The consensus price target fell 13% to US$46.71, suggesting that the analysts might have been a bit enthusiastic in their previous valuation - or they were expecting the company to provide stronger guidance in the quarterly results. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$51.00 and the most bearish at US$39.00 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 2.2% annualised decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 6.8% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 9.7% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Cracker Barrel Old Country Store analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Cracker Barrel Old Country Store .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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