If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Insperity (NYSE:NSP) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Insperity, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.18 = US$117m ÷ (US$2.6b - US$1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Thus, Insperity has an ROCE of 18%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Professional Services industry average of 16%.
View our latest analysis for Insperity
In the above chart we have measured Insperity's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Insperity .
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Insperity doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 18% from 35% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Insperity's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 74% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 18%. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.
To conclude, we've found that Insperity is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has gained an impressive 70% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Insperity, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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