Release Date: February 28, 2025
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Q: What are the projections for ROE in 2025, and how will Grupo Financiero Galicia fund growth given the recent capital consumption? A: Pablo Firvida, Head of Investor Relations, stated that the ROE for 2025 is expected to be around 15% in real terms, down from 34% in 2024 due to extraordinary items like the HSBC acquisition. Growth in loans is expected to be around 50%, with deposits growing at 35%. The capital ratio is expected to be sufficient to fund growth without needing to raise additional capital until at least 2027.
Q: Will there be a change in dividend distribution in 2025 given the transition year and lower ROE? A: Pablo Firvida mentioned that dividends will be paid in May, subject to central bank approval. The plan is to distribute 88 billion pesos from subsidiaries and 400 billion pesos from the bank. The dividend amount in dollars will be similar to the previous year, despite the high results in 2024.
Q: How will the weight of securities and loans evolve in 2025, and what are the expectations for loan-to-asset and security-to-asset ratios? A: Pablo Firvida explained that the asset breakdown is shifting, with loans to the private sector now representing 42% of total assets, up from 30%, while government exposure has decreased to 22%. The trend is expected to continue, with loans potentially reaching 60% of total assets by the end of 2025.
Q: What caused the significant increase in provisions at Naranja X, and what should be expected going forward? A: The increase in provisions was due to a change in the expected loss model and charge-off methodology, which was adjusted to account for personal loans. This was a one-off adjustment, and provisions are expected to return to normal levels of around 9-10% in future quarters.
Q: What are the expectations for inflation and exchange rate movements in 2025? A: The chief economist forecasts a GDP growth of 5.5% with inflation in the range of 23-25%. The devaluation of the official exchange rate is expected to align with estimated inflation. The timing of lifting FX restrictions remains uncertain, which could impact these projections.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
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