Last week, you might have seen that Trex Company, Inc. (NYSE:TREX) released its annual result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 7.2% to US$61.55 in the past week. The result was positive overall - although revenues of US$1.2b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Trex Company surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$2.09 per share, modestly greater than expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Trex Company

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Trex Company's 16 analysts is for revenues of US$1.22b in 2025. This would reflect a satisfactory 6.2% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to rise 3.7% to US$2.19. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.21b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.19 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$75.13, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Trex Company analyst has a price target of US$90.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$61.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 6.2% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 7.7% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 5.3% annually. It's clear that while Trex Company's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$75.13, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Trex Company analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Trex Company has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.