Investors in V2X, Inc. (NYSE:VVX) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.7% to close at US$47.24 following the release of its annual results. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of US$4.3b were what the analysts expected, V2X surprised by delivering a (statutory) profit of US$1.08 per share, an impressive 30% above what was forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
View our latest analysis for V2X
Following the latest results, V2X's ten analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$4.47b in 2025. This would be a reasonable 3.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 87% to US$2.06. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$4.46b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.02 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$66.40, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values V2X at US$80.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$52.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that V2X's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 3.4% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 28% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 6.8% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than V2X.
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for V2X going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for V2X that you need to be mindful of.
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