Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (OR) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Strategic ...

GuruFocus.com
21 Feb
  • Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs) Q4 2024: 20,005 GEOs.
  • Total GEOs 2024: 80,740 GEOs, slightly above the midpoint of revised guidance (77,000 to 83,000 GEOs).
  • Annual Revenue 2024: $191.2 million.
  • Cash Margin 2024: 96.5%.
  • Cash at Year-End 2024: $59 million.
  • Net Debt at Year-End 2024: Just under $35 million.
  • Quarterly Dividend Q4 2024: $6.05 per share.
  • Net Earnings 2024: $0.09 per share.
  • Adjusted Earnings 2024: $0.52 per common share.
  • Producing Assets at Year-End 2024: 21 assets.
  • Precious Metals GEOs 2024: 93% from precious metals (67% gold, 27% silver).
  • 2025 GEOs Guidance: 80,000 to 88,000 GEOs.
  • 2025 Cash Margin Guidance: Approximately 97%.
  • Total Debt at Year-End 2024: Just under $94 million.
  • Warning! GuruFocus has detected 5 Warning Sign with OR.

Release Date: February 20, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (NYSE:OR) achieved record annual revenues of $191.2 million with a peer-leading cash margin of 96.5%.
  • The company ended 2024 with $59 million in cash and net debt of just under $35 million, after paying down almost $85 million against its revolving credit facility.
  • Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (NYSE:OR) declared and paid its 41st consecutive quarterly dividend, returning over 360 million Canadian dollars to shareholders.
  • The company completed nearly $300 million in transactions in 2024, marking the second consecutive year of significant capital deployment.
  • Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (NYSE:OR) has a robust pipeline and expects to complete at least one or two meaningful transactions in 2025.

Negative Points

  • The growth trajectory for 2025 is expected to be less steep than previously anticipated.
  • Performance from Capstone's Mantos Blancos operation experienced a year-over-year decrease due to milling rates below expected levels.
  • The company's 2025 guidance reflects a back-half weighted delivery of GEOs, with a weaker Q1 anticipated.
  • The updated 2029 outlook is lower than the previous year's 2028 outlook due to the absence of the Eagle mine.
  • Progress on the Eagle mine is slower than expected, affecting the company's growth projections.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you clarify the production profile for 2025, particularly regarding the distribution of GEOs throughout the year? A: We don't provide quarter-to-quarter guidance, but Q1 is expected to be the weakest due to Canadian Malartic's performance. Q2 should see improvement, with 45% of GEOs delivered in the first half and 55% in the second half, with stronger quarters in Q3 and Q4.

Q: What are the current opportunities for transactions, and how do you view syndication? A: We are open to syndicated deals, as demonstrated by our 2024 deal with Franco. This allows us to consider larger transactions, potentially around $1 billion. The opportunity set is robust, particularly in the copper space, although some projects are paused due to market conditions.

Q: How do you prioritize capital allocation between dividends and share buybacks? A: Our primary focus is acquiring high-quality assets. We aim to maintain a dividend payout of 20-25% of operating cash flow. Share buybacks are considered when there's a perceived value dislocation, but dividends remain a priority.

Q: Are you seeing more opportunities in development or production, and what is the timeline for these opportunities? A: Our focus is on cash-flowing assets or those impacting our five-year outlook. Most opportunities are in the $50 to $500 million range, with a preference for assets that will contribute within this timeframe.

Q: Would you consider exchanging copper assets for gold assets if the opportunity arose? A: We are open to transactions that are accretive to shareholder value. While we are primarily a precious metals vehicle, we have a positive view on copper. If a beneficial swap for gold assets arises, we would consider it.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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