If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So, when we ran our eye over Churchill Downs' (NASDAQ:CHDN) trend of ROCE, we liked what we saw.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Churchill Downs is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = US$696m ÷ (US$7.2b - US$710m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Churchill Downs has an ROCE of 11%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 9.3% generated by the Hospitality industry.
View our latest analysis for Churchill Downs
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Churchill Downs compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Churchill Downs for free.
While the current returns on capital are decent, they haven't changed much. The company has consistently earned 11% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 183% in that time. 11% is a pretty standard return, and it provides some comfort knowing that Churchill Downs has consistently earned this amount. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.
To sum it up, Churchill Downs has simply been reinvesting capital steadily, at those decent rates of return. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 49% to shareholders over the last five years. So even though the stock might be more "expensive" than it was before, we think the strong fundamentals warrant this stock for further research.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Churchill Downs that we think you should be aware of.
While Churchill Downs isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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