Cardano Hits Monthly Low: Market Indicators Suggest a Possible Rebound

BE[IN]CRYPTO
27 Dec 2024
  • Cardano hits a monthly low of $0.86; MVRV ratio suggests an accumulation zone, signaling potential for recovery.
  • The NVT ratio at a 22-month high indicates weak on-chain demand, reflecting challenges in network utility.
  • ADA risks further decline to $0.77 if $0.87 support isn’t reclaimed, while consolidation between $0.87 and $1.00 may offer stability.

Cardano (ADA) has seen a steady price decline since early December, reaching a monthly low of $0.86. This downturn has left ADA investors anticipating a bleak start to the new year. 

However, market signals suggest a potential buying opportunity for those willing to take a long-term view.  

Cardano Investors Have an Opportunity

Cardano’s MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio indicates a possible buy opportunity. The metric currently falls within the range of -13% to -26%, an area historically considered an accumulation zone for ADA. When the MVRV ratio hits this range, the altcoin often rebounds, offering substantial recovery potential to investors.  

Accumulating Cardano at these levels could yield positive returns, particularly as the altcoin has shown resilience in similar scenarios in the past. While current sentiment remains cautious, the MVRV zone suggests ADA is undervalued, making it an attractive option for strategic investors.  

Cardano MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

Cardano’s macro momentum, however, presents challenges. The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio is at a 22-month high, signaling a bearish trend. A high NVT ratio indicates that the network valuation is significantly outpacing its transactional activity, reflecting weak on-chain demand and reduced investor interest.  

This disparity suggests that while Cardano’s market value remains elevated, its real-world utility and adoption are lagging. Investors should consider this imbalance when evaluating the altcoin’s potential for short-term recovery or long-term growth.

Cardano NVT Ratio. Source: IntoTheBlock

ADA Price Prediction: Finding Support

Cardano’s price is currently at $0.86, a monthly low that reflects its recent decline through the $0.87 support level. This price point, coupled with the mixed signals from market and macro indicators, leaves ADA in a precarious position.  

In the near term, ADA could consolidate between $0.87 and $1.00, provided no major bullish or bearish cues emerge. This range could serve as a stabilizing zone for the altcoin while investors await stronger signals from the broader crypto market.  

Cardano Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, failure to reclaim $0.87 as support could drive Cardano to its next support level of $0.77. Such a drop would reinforce bearish sentiment and delay any recovery, highlighting the importance of this critical price point for ADA’s near-term trajectory.  

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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