International Markets and Brink's (BCO): A Deep Dive for Investors

Zacks
11 Nov 2024

Have you assessed how the international operations of Brink's (BCO) performed in the quarter ended September 2024? For this armored car company, possessing an expansive global footprint, parsing the trends of international revenues could be critical to gauge its financial resilience and growth prospects.

In today's increasingly interconnected global economy, a company's ability to tap into international markets can be a pivotal factor in shaping its overall financial health and growth trajectory. For investors, understanding a company's reliance on overseas markets has become increasingly crucial, as it offers insights into the company's sustainability of earnings, ability to tap into diverse economic cycles and overall growth potential.

International market involvement serves as insurance against economic downturns at home and enables engagement with economies that are growing more quickly. Still, this move toward diversification is not without its challenges, as it involves navigating through the fluctuations of currencies, geopolitical threats, and the distinctive nature of various markets.

Upon examining BCO's recent quarterly performance, we noticed several interesting patterns in the revenue generated from its international segments, which are commonly analyzed and observed by Wall Street experts.

The recent quarter saw the company's total revenue reaching $1.26 billion, marking an improvement of 2.5% from the prior-year quarter. Next, we'll examine the breakdown of BCO's revenue from abroad to comprehend the significance of its international presence.

Exploring BCO's International Revenue Patterns

Rest of World generated $209 million in revenues for the company in the last quarter, constituting 16.61% of the total. This represented a surprise of -3.17% compared to the $215.85 million projected by Wall Street analysts. Comparatively, in the previous quarter, Rest of World accounted for $199.7 million (15.94%), and in the year-ago quarter, it contributed $202 million (16.46%) to the total revenue.

Of the total revenue, $316 million came from Europe during the last fiscal quarter, accounting for 25.11%. This represented a surprise of +0.59% as analysts had expected the region to contribute $314.15 million to the total revenue. In comparison, the region contributed $309.7 million, or 24.71%, and $288 million, or 23.46%, to total revenue in the previous and year-ago quarters, respectively.

During the quarter, Latin America contributed $321 million in revenue, making up 25.51% of the total revenue. When compared to the consensus estimate of $328.6 million, this meant a surprise of -2.31%. Looking back, Latin America contributed $331.7 million, or 26.47%, in the previous quarter, and $340 million, or 27.70%, in the same quarter of the previous year.

Prospective Revenues in International Markets

Wall Street analysts expect Brink's to report $1.25 billion in total revenue for the current fiscal quarter, indicating an increase of 0.2% from the year-ago quarter. Rest of World, Europe and Latin America are expected to contribute 17.7% ($221.15 million), 26.2% ($326.8 million) and 26.5% ($330.55 million) to the total revenue, respectively.

For the full year, a total revenue of $5 billion is expected for the company, reflecting an increase of 2.5% from the year before. The revenues from Rest of World, Europe and Latin America are expected to make up 16.9%, 24.9% and 26.5% of this total, corresponding to $841.75 million, $1.24 billion and $1.33 billion respectively.

Final Thoughts

Brink's' leaning on foreign markets for its revenue stream presents a mix of chances and challenges. Therefore, a vigilant watch on its international revenue movements can greatly aid in projecting the company's future direction.

With the increasing intricacies of global interdependence and geopolitical strife, Wall Street analysts meticulously observe these patterns, especially for companies with an international footprint, to tweak their forecasts of earnings. Importantly, several additional factors, such as a company's domestic market status, also impact these earnings forecasts.

Emphasizing a company's shifting earnings prospects is a key aspect of our approach at Zacks, especially since research has proven its substantial influence on a stock's price in the short run. This correlation is positively aligned, meaning that improved earnings projections tend to boost the stock's price.

The Zacks Rank, our proprietary stock rating mechanism, demonstrates a notable performance history confirmed through external audits. It effectively utilizes the power of earnings estimate revisions to act as a predictor of a stock's price performance in the near term.

At the moment, Brink's has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), signifying that it may underperform the overall market trend in the upcoming period. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>

Brink's' Recent Stock Market Performance

Over the past month, the stock has seen a decline of 10.6% in its value, whereas the Zacks S&P 500 composite has posted an increase of 4.4%. The Zacks Business Services sector, Brink's' industry group, has ascended 11.5% over the identical span. In the past three months, there's been a decline of 1.8% in the company's stock price, against a rise of 13.1% in the S&P 500 index. The broader sector has increased by 20.8% during this interval.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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