Earnings Beat: LivaNova PLC Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Simply Wall St.
03 Nov 2024

LivaNova PLC (NASDAQ:LIVN) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of market expectations. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 5.9% to hit US$318m. LivaNova also reported a statutory profit of US$0.60, which was an impressive 109% above what the analysts had forecast. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for LivaNova

NasdaqGS:LIVN Earnings and Revenue Growth November 3rd 2024

After the latest results, the ten analysts covering LivaNova are now predicting revenues of US$1.31b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a reasonable 5.7% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 329% to US$1.87. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$1.30b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.72 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on LivaNova's earnings potential following these results.

The consensus price target was unchanged at US$69.00, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values LivaNova at US$90.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$53.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting LivaNova's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 4.5% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 3.3% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 8.2% per year. So it's clear that despite the acceleration in growth, LivaNova is expected to grow meaningfully slower than the industry average.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards LivaNova following these results. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$69.00, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for LivaNova going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for LivaNova that you need to be mindful of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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