While Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (NASDAQ:APOG) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a significant share price rise of 24% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Apogee Enterprises’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
Check out our latest analysis for Apogee Enterprises
Apogee Enterprises appears to be overvalued by 31% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$75.80 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of $58.03. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! Another thing to keep in mind is that Apogee Enterprises’s share price is quite stable relative to the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Apogee Enterprises, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 5.4%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for Apogee Enterprises, at least in the near term.
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in APOG’s future outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe APOG should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on APOG for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Since timing is quite important when it comes to individual stock picking, it's worth taking a look at what those latest analysts forecasts are. At Simply Wall St, we have the analysts estimates which you can view by clicking here.
If you are no longer interested in Apogee Enterprises, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.